Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination in Iowa’s June 2 U.S. Senate primary by defeating state Sen. Zach Wahls with approximately 62.7% of the vote to 37.3%, producing a margin near 25 percentage points. Pre-election polling had shown Turek maintaining a consistent lead through the spring, bolstered by establishment backing and voter focus on general-election electability against the Republican nominee. Traders have priced the 20–30% outcome at 97.9% because the reported results fall squarely inside that band, with limited room for material revision once certification concludes. A successful recount or widespread provisional-ballot shift could theoretically move the final certified margin, though such adjustments rarely exceed a few points in Iowa primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTurek 20–30% 97.8%
Turek 30%+ 2.0%
Turek 10–20% 1.6%
Wahls gana 1.4%
$1,236 Vol.
$1,236 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Turek <10%
1%
Turek 30%+
5%
Turek 10–20%
2%
Turek 20–30%
98%
Wahls gana
1%
Turek 20–30% 97.8%
Turek 30%+ 2.0%
Turek 10–20% 1.6%
Wahls gana 1.4%
$1,236 Vol.
$1,236 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Turek <10%
$215 Vol.
1%
Turek 30%+
$160 Vol.
5%
Turek 10–20%
$154 Vol.
2%
Turek 20–30%
$542 Vol.
98%
Wahls gana
$165 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination in Iowa’s June 2 U.S. Senate primary by defeating state Sen. Zach Wahls with approximately 62.7% of the vote to 37.3%, producing a margin near 25 percentage points. Pre-election polling had shown Turek maintaining a consistent lead through the spring, bolstered by establishment backing and voter focus on general-election electability against the Republican nominee. Traders have priced the 20–30% outcome at 97.9% because the reported results fall squarely inside that band, with limited room for material revision once certification concludes. A successful recount or widespread provisional-ballot shift could theoretically move the final certified margin, though such adjustments rarely exceed a few points in Iowa primaries.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,236Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination in Iowa’s June 2 U.S. Senate primary by defeating state Sen. Zach Wahls with approximately 62.7% of the vote to 37.3%, producing a margin near 25 percentage points. Pre-election polling had shown Turek maintaining a consistent lead through the spring, bolstered by establishment backing and voter focus on general-election electability against the Republican nominee. Traders have priced the 20–30% outcome at 97.9% because the reported results fall squarely inside that band, with limited room for material revision once certification concludes. A successful recount or widespread provisional-ballot shift could theoretically move the final certified margin, though such adjustments rarely exceed a few points in Iowa primaries.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$1,236Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination in Iowa’s June 2 U.S. Senate primary by defeating state Sen. Zach Wahls with approximately 62.7% of the vote to 37.3%, producing a margin near 25 percentage points. Pre-election polling had shown Turek maintaining a consistent lead through the spring, bolstered by establishment backing and voter focus on general-election electability against the Republican nominee. Traders have priced the 20–30% outcome at 97.9% because the reported results fall squarely inside that band, with limited room for material revision once certification concludes. A successful recount or widespread provisional-ballot shift could theoretically move the final certified margin, though such adjustments rarely exceed a few points in Iowa primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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