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Elecciones·Colombia

Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia

icon for Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia
Elecciones·Colombia

Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$131 Vol.

93%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$137 Vol.

4%

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding lead in the Antioquia vote market ahead of the June 21 runoff because he outperformed expectations in the May 31 first round across Andean departments that include Medellín, the department’s capital and largest city. Right-leaning voters there consolidated behind his tough-on-crime platform and Caribbean-coast roots, while left-leaning support for Iván Cepeda Castro remained narrower than in 2022 despite gains over prior Historic Pact totals. Traders also weigh de la Espriella’s recent endorsement by U.S. President Trump as reinforcing his regional strength. A late surge in urban turnout for Cepeda or unexpected national developments could still narrow the gap, though structural patterns favor the first-round leader in this key battleground department.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$268
Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding lead in the Antioquia vote market ahead of the June 21 runoff because he outperformed expectations in the May 31 first round across Andean departments that include Medellín, the department’s capital and largest city. Right-leaning voters there consolidated behind his tough-on-crime platform and Caribbean-coast roots, while left-leaning support for Iván Cepeda Castro remained narrower than in 2022 despite gains over prior Historic Pact totals. Traders also weigh de la Espriella’s recent endorsement by U.S. President Trump as reinforcing his regional strength. A late surge in urban turnout for Cepeda or unexpected national developments could still narrow the gap, though structural patterns favor the first-round leader in this key battleground department.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$268
Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Abelardo de la Espriella" con 93%, seguido de "Iván Cepeda Castro" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 5, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia" es "Abelardo de la Espriella" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Iván Cepeda Castro" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: La mayoría de los votos de Antioquia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.