In the June 21 runoff between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro of the Historic Pact coalition and right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella, traders assign Cepeda a strong 76% implied probability of securing the most votes in Bogotá. This positioning reflects the capital's consistent left-leaning electorate, which delivered Cepeda a first-round plurality on May 31 while de la Espriella led nationally at 43.7% to 40.9%. Bogotá's urban, progressive voter base, reinforced by support for incumbent President Gustavo Petro's coalition, creates a structural advantage for Cepeda despite national polarization over security and economic policy. De la Espriella's 17.5% odds account for limited crossover potential in the district ahead of the final ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSegunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: la mayoría de los votos son de Bogotá
Segunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: la mayoría de los votos son de Bogotá
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 jun 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
76%
Abelardo de la Espriella
18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 jun 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$0 Vol.
76%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$0 Vol.
18%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In the June 21 runoff between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro of the Historic Pact coalition and right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella, traders assign Cepeda a strong 76% implied probability of securing the most votes in Bogotá. This positioning reflects the capital's consistent left-leaning electorate, which delivered Cepeda a first-round plurality on May 31 while de la Espriella led nationally at 43.7% to 40.9%. Bogotá's urban, progressive voter base, reinforced by support for incumbent President Gustavo Petro's coalition, creates a structural advantage for Cepeda despite national polarization over security and economic policy. De la Espriella's 17.5% odds account for limited crossover potential in the district ahead of the final ballot.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In the June 21 runoff between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro of the Historic Pact coalition and right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella, traders assign Cepeda a strong 76% implied probability of securing the most votes in Bogotá. This positioning reflects the capital's consistent left-leaning electorate, which delivered Cepeda a first-round plurality on May 31 while de la Espriella led nationally at 43.7% to 40.9%. Bogotá's urban, progressive voter base, reinforced by support for incumbent President Gustavo Petro's coalition, creates a structural advantage for Cepeda despite national polarization over security and economic policy. De la Espriella's 17.5% odds account for limited crossover potential in the district ahead of the final ballot.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the June 21 runoff between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro of the Historic Pact coalition and right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella, traders assign Cepeda a strong 76% implied probability of securing the most votes in Bogotá. This positioning reflects the capital's consistent left-leaning electorate, which delivered Cepeda a first-round plurality on May 31 while de la Espriella led nationally at 43.7% to 40.9%. Bogotá's urban, progressive voter base, reinforced by support for incumbent President Gustavo Petro's coalition, creates a structural advantage for Cepeda despite national polarization over security and economic policy. De la Espriella's 17.5% odds account for limited crossover potential in the district ahead of the final ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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