Skip to main content
icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

Nithya Raman 65%

Spencer Pratt 35%

Karen Bass 2.7%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$134,177 Vol.

Nithya Raman 65%

Spencer Pratt 35%

Karen Bass 2.7%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$134,177 Vol.

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$40,703 Vol.

65%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$65,070 Vol.

35%

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$8,553 Vol.

3%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$2,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$2,206 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$4,350 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$3,298 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$3,287 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$2,338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$1,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent vote tallies from the June 2 primary place incumbent Karen Bass first with around 35 percent, followed by Spencer Pratt near 30 percent and Nithya Raman at 23 percent among counted ballots. Traders assign Nithya Raman the highest probability for second place due to expectations that remaining mail and provisional ballots will favor the city council member over the reality television personality. Pratt gained sharply in late polling by emphasizing public frustration with homelessness and wildfire response, narrowing what had been a wider gap. Bass's lead ensures a November runoff regardless of the second-place finisher, while lower-polling candidates show negligible support. The outcome hinges on final certification timing and turnout patterns among remaining voters.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$134,177
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent vote tallies from the June 2 primary place incumbent Karen Bass first with around 35 percent, followed by Spencer Pratt near 30 percent and Nithya Raman at 23 percent among counted ballots. Traders assign Nithya Raman the highest probability for second place due to expectations that remaining mail and provisional ballots will favor the city council member over the reality television personality. Pratt gained sharply in late polling by emphasizing public frustration with homelessness and wildfire response, narrowing what had been a wider gap. Bass's lead ensures a November runoff regardless of the second-place finisher, while lower-polling candidates show negligible support. The outcome hinges on final certification timing and turnout patterns among remaining voters.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$134,177
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nithya Raman" con 65%, seguido de "Spencer Pratt" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" ha generado $134.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 14, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" es "Nithya Raman" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Spencer Pratt" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.