Recent vote tallies from the June 2 primary place incumbent Karen Bass first with around 35 percent, followed by Spencer Pratt near 30 percent and Nithya Raman at 23 percent among counted ballots. Traders assign Nithya Raman the highest probability for second place due to expectations that remaining mail and provisional ballots will favor the city council member over the reality television personality. Pratt gained sharply in late polling by emphasizing public frustration with homelessness and wildfire response, narrowing what had been a wider gap. Bass's lead ensures a November runoff regardless of the second-place finisher, while lower-polling candidates show negligible support. The outcome hinges on final certification timing and turnout patterns among remaining voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?
Nithya Raman 65%
Spencer Pratt 35%
Karen Bass 2.7%
Rick Caruso <1%
$134,177 Vol.
$134,177 Vol.

Nithya Raman
65%

Spencer Pratt
35%

Karen Bass
3%

Rick Caruso
<1%

Asaad Alnajjar
<1%

Gina Viola
<1%

Austin Beutner
<1%

Lindsey Horvath
<1%

Monica Rodriguez
<1%

Rae Huang
<1%

Adam Miller
<1%
Nithya Raman 65%
Spencer Pratt 35%
Karen Bass 2.7%
Rick Caruso <1%
$134,177 Vol.
$134,177 Vol.

Nithya Raman
65%

Spencer Pratt
35%

Karen Bass
3%

Rick Caruso
<1%

Asaad Alnajjar
<1%

Gina Viola
<1%

Austin Beutner
<1%

Lindsey Horvath
<1%

Monica Rodriguez
<1%

Rae Huang
<1%

Adam Miller
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent vote tallies from the June 2 primary place incumbent Karen Bass first with around 35 percent, followed by Spencer Pratt near 30 percent and Nithya Raman at 23 percent among counted ballots. Traders assign Nithya Raman the highest probability for second place due to expectations that remaining mail and provisional ballots will favor the city council member over the reality television personality. Pratt gained sharply in late polling by emphasizing public frustration with homelessness and wildfire response, narrowing what had been a wider gap. Bass's lead ensures a November runoff regardless of the second-place finisher, while lower-polling candidates show negligible support. The outcome hinges on final certification timing and turnout patterns among remaining voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes