Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?
¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminución <1%
Aumento <1%
$110,600 Vol.
$110,600 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Disminución
No
Sin cambios
Sí
Aumento
No
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminución <1%
Aumento <1%
$110,600 Vol.
$110,600 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Disminución
$43,434 Vol.
No
Sin cambios
$31,278 Vol.
Sí
Aumento
$35,888 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volumen
$110,600Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$110,600Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Banco de la República's unanimous April 30 decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 11.25%—defying pre-meeting analyst forecasts for a 50-basis-point hike—drives Polymarket traders' 100% implied probability for no change, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the official outcome. Supporting factors include March headline inflation at 5.6% (46 basis points above December) and core measures at 5.8%, alongside Q1 economic recovery signals like rising energy demand, manufacturing output, and a dynamic labor market with historically low unemployment, balancing inflation convergence risks from Middle East energy shocks. Realistic challenges are negligible post-announcement, though minutes release on May 6 could reveal vote nuances prompting rare resolution disputes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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