Polymarket's trader consensus assigns a 91.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 monetary policy meeting, anchored by the central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to hold steady at 2.50% for a seventh consecutive session. This positioning reflects March CPI at 2.2% year-over-year—near the 2% target with core inflation cooling—offset by imported pressures from volatile oil prices amid Middle East tensions and won depreciation risks. Solid Q1 GDP growth supports stability, limiting easing incentives. Upside inflation surprises in April data (due May 5) or growth deceleration could pressure a hike or cut, though current dynamics favor continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en mayo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en mayo?
Sin cambios 92%
Aumento 5%
Disminuir 1.8%
$45,740 Vol.
$45,740 Vol.
Disminuir
2%
Sin cambios
92%
Aumento
5%
Sin cambios 92%
Aumento 5%
Disminuir 1.8%
$45,740 Vol.
$45,740 Vol.
Disminuir
2%
Sin cambios
92%
Aumento
5%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus assigns a 91.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 monetary policy meeting, anchored by the central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to hold steady at 2.50% for a seventh consecutive session. This positioning reflects March CPI at 2.2% year-over-year—near the 2% target with core inflation cooling—offset by imported pressures from volatile oil prices amid Middle East tensions and won depreciation risks. Solid Q1 GDP growth supports stability, limiting easing incentives. Upside inflation surprises in April data (due May 5) or growth deceleration could pressure a hike or cut, though current dynamics favor continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes