Recent strong U.S. payrolls data, including the May report showing 172,000 job gains, has underscored labor market resilience at an unemployment rate near 4.3%, reducing downside risks while keeping the Fed funds target range anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. Elevated inflation from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices has prompted economists to largely abandon 2026 rate-cut forecasts, with nearly 70% now expecting the FOMC to hold steady through year-end per recent Reuters polling. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, as persistent but moderating price pressures and anchored long-term inflation expectations limit the case for tightening absent self-sustaining wage-price dynamics. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and incoming dot plot revisions remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$1,927,382 Vol.
$1,927,382 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Sí
$1,927,382 Vol.
$1,927,382 Vol.
9 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strong U.S. payrolls data, including the May report showing 172,000 job gains, has underscored labor market resilience at an unemployment rate near 4.3%, reducing downside risks while keeping the Fed funds target range anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. Elevated inflation from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices has prompted economists to largely abandon 2026 rate-cut forecasts, with nearly 70% now expecting the FOMC to hold steady through year-end per recent Reuters polling. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, as persistent but moderating price pressures and anchored long-term inflation expectations limit the case for tightening absent self-sustaining wage-price dynamics. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and incoming dot plot revisions remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$1,927,382Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strong U.S. payrolls data, including the May report showing 172,000 job gains, has underscored labor market resilience at an unemployment rate near 4.3%, reducing downside risks while keeping the Fed funds target range anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. Elevated inflation from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices has prompted economists to largely abandon 2026 rate-cut forecasts, with nearly 70% now expecting the FOMC to hold steady through year-end per recent Reuters polling. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, as persistent but moderating price pressures and anchored long-term inflation expectations limit the case for tightening absent self-sustaining wage-price dynamics. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and incoming dot plot revisions remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,929,492Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strong U.S. payrolls data, including the May report showing 172,000 job gains, has underscored labor market resilience at an unemployment rate near 4.3%, reducing downside risks while keeping the Fed funds target range anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. Elevated inflation from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices has prompted economists to largely abandon 2026 rate-cut forecasts, with nearly 70% now expecting the FOMC to hold steady through year-end per recent Reuters polling. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, as persistent but moderating price pressures and anchored long-term inflation expectations limit the case for tightening absent self-sustaining wage-price dynamics. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and incoming dot plot revisions remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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