Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 71% probability of no change to Banco de México's (Banxico) target rate at 6.75% for the June meeting, reflecting caution after the bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 amid split votes and inflation hovering above the 3% target. Headline inflation eased slightly to 4.53% year-over-year in the first half of April, supporting potential future easing but prompting a likely pause at the upcoming May 7 decision as policymakers assess persistent core pressures and economic growth projections for 2026. A 34% chance of a decrease prices in expectations of softer data, while an 17.2% hike odds account for upside inflation risks, with full April CPI and May minutes as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 75%
Decrease 35%
Increase 25.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 jun 2026
Decrease
35%
No change
75%
Increase
26%
No change 75%
Decrease 35%
Increase 25.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 jun 2026
Decrease
$437 Vol.
35%
No change
$484 Vol.
75%
Increase
$808 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 71% probability of no change to Banco de México's (Banxico) target rate at 6.75% for the June meeting, reflecting caution after the bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 amid split votes and inflation hovering above the 3% target. Headline inflation eased slightly to 4.53% year-over-year in the first half of April, supporting potential future easing but prompting a likely pause at the upcoming May 7 decision as policymakers assess persistent core pressures and economic growth projections for 2026. A 34% chance of a decrease prices in expectations of softer data, while an 17.2% hike odds account for upside inflation risks, with full April CPI and May minutes as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$1,728Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 71% probability of no change to Banco de México's (Banxico) target rate at 6.75% for the June meeting, reflecting caution after the bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 amid split votes and inflation hovering above the 3% target. Headline inflation eased slightly to 4.53% year-over-year in the first half of April, supporting potential future easing but prompting a likely pause at the upcoming May 7 decision as policymakers assess persistent core pressures and economic growth projections for 2026. A 34% chance of a decrease prices in expectations of softer data, while an 17.2% hike odds account for upside inflation risks, with full April CPI and May minutes as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$1,728Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 71% probability of no change to Banco de México's (Banxico) target rate at 6.75% for the June meeting, reflecting caution after the bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 amid split votes and inflation hovering above the 3% target. Headline inflation eased slightly to 4.53% year-over-year in the first half of April, supporting potential future easing but prompting a likely pause at the upcoming May 7 decision as policymakers assess persistent core pressures and economic growth projections for 2026. A 34% chance of a decrease prices in expectations of softer data, while an 17.2% hike odds account for upside inflation risks, with full April CPI and May minutes as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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