Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, reflecting overwhelming consensus after the U.S. Department of Justice dropped its criminal probe into the Fed chair last week over alleged perjury tied to $2.5–3.1 billion headquarters renovation overruns. A federal judge quashed related subpoenas, citing "essentially zero evidence" and deeming them a pressure tactic to influence monetary policy amid Trump administration demands for rate cuts, underscoring threats to Fed independence. No charges were filed, and no other investigations persist. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen indictments on unrelated matters, though trader sentiment dismisses this amid Powell's term ending May 15 and clean legal slate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, reflecting overwhelming consensus after the U.S. Department of Justice dropped its criminal probe into the Fed chair last week over alleged perjury tied to $2.5–3.1 billion headquarters renovation overruns. A federal judge quashed related subpoenas, citing "essentially zero evidence" and deeming them a pressure tactic to influence monetary policy amid Trump administration demands for rate cuts, underscoring threats to Fed independence. No charges were filed, and no other investigations persist. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen indictments on unrelated matters, though trader sentiment dismisses this amid Powell's term ending May 15 and clean legal slate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Volumen
$3,476Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, reflecting overwhelming consensus after the U.S. Department of Justice dropped its criminal probe into the Fed chair last week over alleged perjury tied to $2.5–3.1 billion headquarters renovation overruns. A federal judge quashed related subpoenas, citing "essentially zero evidence" and deeming them a pressure tactic to influence monetary policy amid Trump administration demands for rate cuts, underscoring threats to Fed independence. No charges were filed, and no other investigations persist. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen indictments on unrelated matters, though trader sentiment dismisses this amid Powell's term ending May 15 and clean legal slate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,476Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, reflecting overwhelming consensus after the U.S. Department of Justice dropped its criminal probe into the Fed chair last week over alleged perjury tied to $2.5–3.1 billion headquarters renovation overruns. A federal judge quashed related subpoenas, citing "essentially zero evidence" and deeming them a pressure tactic to influence monetary policy amid Trump administration demands for rate cuts, underscoring threats to Fed independence. No charges were filed, and no other investigations persist. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen indictments on unrelated matters, though trader sentiment dismisses this amid Powell's term ending May 15 and clean legal slate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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