Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 70.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Bank's recent 8-1 vote on April 30 to hold at 3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year from 3.0%, driven by Middle East conflict-fueled energy and fuel price surges, prompting BoE officials to forecast higher-than-expected inflation this year while maintaining a restrictive stance. The 30% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture hawkish risks from persistent price data and one MPC dissenter, with cuts below 1% as labor market softening (unemployment at 5.2%) offers limited easing justification; upcoming May CPI and GDP releases will be pivotal swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
Sin cambio 67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 31%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$52,714 Vol.
$52,714 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio
67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
31%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio 67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 31%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$52,714 Vol.
$52,714 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$6,580 Vol.
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
$8,293 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambio
$11,508 Vol.
67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$18,827 Vol.
31%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$7,573 Vol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 70.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Bank's recent 8-1 vote on April 30 to hold at 3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year from 3.0%, driven by Middle East conflict-fueled energy and fuel price surges, prompting BoE officials to forecast higher-than-expected inflation this year while maintaining a restrictive stance. The 30% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture hawkish risks from persistent price data and one MPC dissenter, with cuts below 1% as labor market softening (unemployment at 5.2%) offers limited easing justification; upcoming May CPI and GDP releases will be pivotal swing factors.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volumen
$52,714Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 70.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Bank's recent 8-1 vote on April 30 to hold at 3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year from 3.0%, driven by Middle East conflict-fueled energy and fuel price surges, prompting BoE officials to forecast higher-than-expected inflation this year while maintaining a restrictive stance. The 30% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture hawkish risks from persistent price data and one MPC dissenter, with cuts below 1% as labor market softening (unemployment at 5.2%) offers limited easing justification; upcoming May CPI and GDP releases will be pivotal swing factors.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$52,714Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 70.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Bank's recent 8-1 vote on April 30 to hold at 3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year from 3.0%, driven by Middle East conflict-fueled energy and fuel price surges, prompting BoE officials to forecast higher-than-expected inflation this year while maintaining a restrictive stance. The 30% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture hawkish risks from persistent price data and one MPC dissenter, with cuts below 1% as labor market softening (unemployment at 5.2%) offers limited easing justification; upcoming May CPI and GDP releases will be pivotal swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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