The Bank of England’s June 18 MPC meeting carries a 98.9% market-implied probability of holding Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, reflecting trader consensus that recent April CPI cooling to 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—has been offset by persistent energy-price upside risks from the Middle East conflict. Official communications note rising fuel and utility costs that could lift inflation later in 2026, while the Reuters economist poll shows unanimous expectations for no change and futures markets price negligible odds of a 25-basis-point move. This strong positioning aligns with the BoE’s data-dependent stance amid balanced growth and inflation signals. A material upside surprise in the May CPI release or sharper escalation in energy markets could still shift near-term expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
Sin cambio 98.8%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 1.1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$281,479 Vol.
$281,479 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio
99%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
1%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio 98.8%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 1.1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$281,479 Vol.
$281,479 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$56,211 Vol.
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
$57,249 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambio
$58,809 Vol.
99%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$67,090 Vol.
1%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$42,120 Vol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s June 18 MPC meeting carries a 98.9% market-implied probability of holding Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, reflecting trader consensus that recent April CPI cooling to 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—has been offset by persistent energy-price upside risks from the Middle East conflict. Official communications note rising fuel and utility costs that could lift inflation later in 2026, while the Reuters economist poll shows unanimous expectations for no change and futures markets price negligible odds of a 25-basis-point move. This strong positioning aligns with the BoE’s data-dependent stance amid balanced growth and inflation signals. A material upside surprise in the May CPI release or sharper escalation in energy markets could still shift near-term expectations.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volumen
$281,479Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s June 18 MPC meeting carries a 98.9% market-implied probability of holding Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, reflecting trader consensus that recent April CPI cooling to 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—has been offset by persistent energy-price upside risks from the Middle East conflict. Official communications note rising fuel and utility costs that could lift inflation later in 2026, while the Reuters economist poll shows unanimous expectations for no change and futures markets price negligible odds of a 25-basis-point move. This strong positioning aligns with the BoE’s data-dependent stance amid balanced growth and inflation signals. A material upside surprise in the May CPI release or sharper escalation in energy markets could still shift near-term expectations.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$281,479Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s June 18 MPC meeting carries a 98.9% market-implied probability of holding Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, reflecting trader consensus that recent April CPI cooling to 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—has been offset by persistent energy-price upside risks from the Middle East conflict. Official communications note rising fuel and utility costs that could lift inflation later in 2026, while the Reuters economist poll shows unanimous expectations for no change and futures markets price negligible odds of a 25-basis-point move. This strong positioning aligns with the BoE’s data-dependent stance amid balanced growth and inflation signals. A material upside surprise in the May CPI release or sharper escalation in energy markets could still shift near-term expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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