Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and fellow Democrat Eric Jones advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 4th Congressional District, with Thompson leading in early tallies followed by Jones. Multiple Republican candidates, including Raymond Riehle and Sharon Brown, along with others, fell short of the top two spots under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. Partial results with over 85% of votes counted align with trader pricing at or near 100% for both advancing candidates. The general election matchup between the two Democrats is now set for November, with no further primary-related developments expected to alter the outcome. Late ballot counts or provisional votes remain the only outstanding variables before final certification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$47,374 Vol.
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
100%
Trevor Merrell
2%
Laurie MacKenzie
2%
Sharon Brown
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
John Wesley Tyler
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
$47,374 Vol.
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
100%
Trevor Merrell
2%
Laurie MacKenzie
2%
Sharon Brown
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
John Wesley Tyler
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and fellow Democrat Eric Jones advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 4th Congressional District, with Thompson leading in early tallies followed by Jones. Multiple Republican candidates, including Raymond Riehle and Sharon Brown, along with others, fell short of the top two spots under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. Partial results with over 85% of votes counted align with trader pricing at or near 100% for both advancing candidates. The general election matchup between the two Democrats is now set for November, with no further primary-related developments expected to alter the outcome. Late ballot counts or provisional votes remain the only outstanding variables before final certification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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