**Bank of Korea decision in August?** Recent inflation data and revised forecasts anchor the closely matched Polymarket odds, with no change at 49.0%, a 25 bps cut at 44.5%, and a 25 bps hike at 40.0%. The May 28 hold at 2.50%—the eighth consecutive—came alongside an upgraded 2026 CPI projection to 2.7% from oil-driven pressures and Middle East risks, while growth was lifted to 2.6% on semiconductor exports. New Governor Shin Hyun-song’s board showed hawkish dispersion in the dot plot, signaling potential tightening to safeguard financial stability amid a softer won. Traders weigh incoming CPI prints, KRW movements, and any FOMC alignment against the resilient export backdrop, creating tight implied probabilities with limited room for decisive shifts before the August 27 meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en agosto?
¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en agosto?
25 bps hike 45%
25 bps cut 40%
50+ bps hike 18%
50+ bps cut 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
50+ bps cut
4%
25 bps cut
40%
No Change
49%
25 bps hike
45%
50+ bps hike
18%
25 bps hike 45%
25 bps cut 40%
50+ bps hike 18%
50+ bps cut 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
50+ bps cut
$1,164 Vol.
4%
25 bps cut
$17 Vol.
40%
No Change
$94 Vol.
49%
25 bps hike
$17 Vol.
45%
50+ bps hike
$16 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Bank of Korea decision in August?** Recent inflation data and revised forecasts anchor the closely matched Polymarket odds, with no change at 49.0%, a 25 bps cut at 44.5%, and a 25 bps hike at 40.0%. The May 28 hold at 2.50%—the eighth consecutive—came alongside an upgraded 2026 CPI projection to 2.7% from oil-driven pressures and Middle East risks, while growth was lifted to 2.6% on semiconductor exports. New Governor Shin Hyun-song’s board showed hawkish dispersion in the dot plot, signaling potential tightening to safeguard financial stability amid a softer won. Traders weigh incoming CPI prints, KRW movements, and any FOMC alignment against the resilient export backdrop, creating tight implied probabilities with limited room for decisive shifts before the August 27 meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Volumen
$1,309Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Bank of Korea decision in August?** Recent inflation data and revised forecasts anchor the closely matched Polymarket odds, with no change at 49.0%, a 25 bps cut at 44.5%, and a 25 bps hike at 40.0%. The May 28 hold at 2.50%—the eighth consecutive—came alongside an upgraded 2026 CPI projection to 2.7% from oil-driven pressures and Middle East risks, while growth was lifted to 2.6% on semiconductor exports. New Governor Shin Hyun-song’s board showed hawkish dispersion in the dot plot, signaling potential tightening to safeguard financial stability amid a softer won. Traders weigh incoming CPI prints, KRW movements, and any FOMC alignment against the resilient export backdrop, creating tight implied probabilities with limited room for decisive shifts before the August 27 meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volumen
$1,309Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bank of Korea decision in August?** Recent inflation data and revised forecasts anchor the closely matched Polymarket odds, with no change at 49.0%, a 25 bps cut at 44.5%, and a 25 bps hike at 40.0%. The May 28 hold at 2.50%—the eighth consecutive—came alongside an upgraded 2026 CPI projection to 2.7% from oil-driven pressures and Middle East risks, while growth was lifted to 2.6% on semiconductor exports. New Governor Shin Hyun-song’s board showed hawkish dispersion in the dot plot, signaling potential tightening to safeguard financial stability amid a softer won. Traders weigh incoming CPI prints, KRW movements, and any FOMC alignment against the resilient export backdrop, creating tight implied probabilities with limited room for decisive shifts before the August 27 meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes