Exit polls released on April 29–30, including Axis My India projecting 88–100 seats for BJP-led NDA and Today's Chanakya forecasting 102 (±9) out of 126 for BJP, have solidified trader consensus on a third consecutive majority for the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party in Assam's unicameral legislative assembly. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's campaign emphasized economic growth exceeding 44% over five years, infrastructure development, and border security amid high 85.64% voter turnout on April 9. Fragmented opposition—INC, AIUDF, AITC, and regional parties like AGP—lacks unified challenge. Results counting on May 4 could shift odds via discrepancies in close seats or counting disputes, though historical exit poll accuracy in state polls supports the commanding BJP position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
BJP 97.6%
INC 2.9%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$198,980 Vol.
$198,980 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
98%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 97.6%
INC 2.9%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$198,980 Vol.
$198,980 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
$59,175 Vol.
98%
INC
$22,579 Vol.
3%
AITC
$18,475 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$14,394 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$12,232 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$12,648 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$17,496 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$17,186 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,178 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$12,617 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released on April 29–30, including Axis My India projecting 88–100 seats for BJP-led NDA and Today's Chanakya forecasting 102 (±9) out of 126 for BJP, have solidified trader consensus on a third consecutive majority for the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party in Assam's unicameral legislative assembly. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's campaign emphasized economic growth exceeding 44% over five years, infrastructure development, and border security amid high 85.64% voter turnout on April 9. Fragmented opposition—INC, AIUDF, AITC, and regional parties like AGP—lacks unified challenge. Results counting on May 4 could shift odds via discrepancies in close seats or counting disputes, though historical exit poll accuracy in state polls supports the commanding BJP position.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volumen
$198,980Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released on April 29–30, including Axis My India projecting 88–100 seats for BJP-led NDA and Today's Chanakya forecasting 102 (±9) out of 126 for BJP, have solidified trader consensus on a third consecutive majority for the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party in Assam's unicameral legislative assembly. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's campaign emphasized economic growth exceeding 44% over five years, infrastructure development, and border security amid high 85.64% voter turnout on April 9. Fragmented opposition—INC, AIUDF, AITC, and regional parties like AGP—lacks unified challenge. Results counting on May 4 could shift odds via discrepancies in close seats or counting disputes, though historical exit poll accuracy in state polls supports the commanding BJP position.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$198,980Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released on April 29–30, including Axis My India projecting 88–100 seats for BJP-led NDA and Today's Chanakya forecasting 102 (±9) out of 126 for BJP, have solidified trader consensus on a third consecutive majority for the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party in Assam's unicameral legislative assembly. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's campaign emphasized economic growth exceeding 44% over five years, infrastructure development, and border security amid high 85.64% voter turnout on April 9. Fragmented opposition—INC, AIUDF, AITC, and regional parties like AGP—lacks unified challenge. Results counting on May 4 could shift odds via discrepancies in close seats or counting disputes, though historical exit poll accuracy in state polls supports the commanding BJP position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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