Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusian Parliament election, including the latest CIS barometer and regional surveys from late April, project PSOE-A at 25-26% vote share translating to 28-31 seats under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with near-even odds between 30-32 and 33+ outcomes. Incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno consolidates at 42-44% for 53-56 seats, nearing absolute majority threshold, while Vox's decline to 13-15% stabilizes opposition dynamics. PSOE's timid uptick of 1-1.5 points amid left fragmentation (Por Andalucía, Adelante Andalucía at 7-8% each) keeps projections tight, but undecided voters and turnout in battleground provinces like Seville could push towards 33+ or drop below 30; no major shifts in past week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones en Andalucía: ¿PSOE-A # de escaños?
Elecciones en Andalucía: ¿PSOE-A # de escaños?
30-32 60%
24-26 35%
27-29 27%
21-23 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
<21
9%
21-23
20%
24-26
35%
27-29
27%
30-32
60%
33+
20%
30-32 60%
24-26 35%
27-29 27%
21-23 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
<21
$141 Vol.
9%
21-23
$9 Vol.
20%
24-26
$78 Vol.
35%
27-29
$11 Vol.
27%
30-32
$9 Vol.
60%
33+
$366 Vol.
20%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusian Parliament election, including the latest CIS barometer and regional surveys from late April, project PSOE-A at 25-26% vote share translating to 28-31 seats under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with near-even odds between 30-32 and 33+ outcomes. Incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno consolidates at 42-44% for 53-56 seats, nearing absolute majority threshold, while Vox's decline to 13-15% stabilizes opposition dynamics. PSOE's timid uptick of 1-1.5 points amid left fragmentation (Por Andalucía, Adelante Andalucía at 7-8% each) keeps projections tight, but undecided voters and turnout in battleground provinces like Seville could push towards 33+ or drop below 30; no major shifts in past week.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Volumen
$613Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusian Parliament election, including the latest CIS barometer and regional surveys from late April, project PSOE-A at 25-26% vote share translating to 28-31 seats under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with near-even odds between 30-32 and 33+ outcomes. Incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno consolidates at 42-44% for 53-56 seats, nearing absolute majority threshold, while Vox's decline to 13-15% stabilizes opposition dynamics. PSOE's timid uptick of 1-1.5 points amid left fragmentation (Por Andalucía, Adelante Andalucía at 7-8% each) keeps projections tight, but undecided voters and turnout in battleground provinces like Seville could push towards 33+ or drop below 30; no major shifts in past week.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volumen
$613Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusian Parliament election, including the latest CIS barometer and regional surveys from late April, project PSOE-A at 25-26% vote share translating to 28-31 seats under proportional representation, fueling trader consensus with near-even odds between 30-32 and 33+ outcomes. Incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno consolidates at 42-44% for 53-56 seats, nearing absolute majority threshold, while Vox's decline to 13-15% stabilizes opposition dynamics. PSOE's timid uptick of 1-1.5 points amid left fragmentation (Por Andalucía, Adelante Andalucía at 7-8% each) keeps projections tight, but undecided voters and turnout in battleground provinces like Seville could push towards 33+ or drop below 30; no major shifts in past week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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