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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska

Mary Peltola 65%

Dan Sullivan 36%

Richard Grayson 1.0%

Dustin Darden <1%

Polymarket

$309,059 Vol.

Mary Peltola 65%

Dan Sullivan 36%

Richard Grayson 1.0%

Dustin Darden <1%

Polymarket

$309,059 Vol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$154,845 Vol.

65%

icon for Dan Sullivan

Dan Sullivan

$84,797 Vol.

36%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$18,543 Vol.

1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$19,046 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$31,827 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (35.5%) in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting her edge in six consecutive polls, including a late-April Alaska Survey Research survey of likely voters showing her ahead 49%-43% head-to-head and 50.2%-43.6% in ranked-choice voting simulations. Peltola's fundraising surge—$8.9 million in Q1, quadruple Sullivan's haul—bolsters her campaign amid the senator's record-low approval ratings. Minor candidates like Richard Grayson trail far behind, as the contest hinges on the top-two matchup under Alaska's nonpartisan blanket primary and RCV general election on November 3. Upcoming August primary and national midterm dynamics could shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$309,059
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (35.5%) in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting her edge in six consecutive polls, including a late-April Alaska Survey Research survey of likely voters showing her ahead 49%-43% head-to-head and 50.2%-43.6% in ranked-choice voting simulations. Peltola's fundraising surge—$8.9 million in Q1, quadruple Sullivan's haul—bolsters her campaign amid the senator's record-low approval ratings. Minor candidates like Richard Grayson trail far behind, as the contest hinges on the top-two matchup under Alaska's nonpartisan blanket primary and RCV general election on November 3. Upcoming August primary and national midterm dynamics could shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$309,059
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mary Peltola" con 65%, seguido de "Dan Sullivan" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" ha generado $309.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" es "Mary Peltola" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Sullivan" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.