Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 98.3%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 1.9%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
Partido de la Reforma (RP) <1%
$2,334,489 Vol.
$2,334,489 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
$495,856 Vol.
98%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
$1,075,749 Vol.
2%
Partido Progresista (PP)
$321,760 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la Reforma (RP)
$172,358 Vol.
<1%
Partido Reconstruyendo Corea (RKP)
$268,767 Vol.
<1%
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 98.3%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 1.9%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
Partido de la Reforma (RP) <1%
$2,334,489 Vol.
$2,334,489 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
$495,856 Vol.
98%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
$1,075,749 Vol.
2%
Partido Progresista (PP)
$321,760 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la Reforma (RP)
$172,358 Vol.
<1%
Partido Reconstruyendo Corea (RKP)
$268,767 Vol.
<1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party of Korea commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.3% to win the most upper-level local government seats (governors and mayors) in the June 3 elections, fueled by incumbency advantage after the party's 2025 snap presidential victory and sustained polling leads. A Gallup survey from April 14-16 showed 45% of respondents expecting a DP majority versus 28% for the opposition People Power Party, with the gap widening amid PPP infighting. An April 29 appeals court sentencing ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol to seven years for his 2024 martial law bid further erodes PPP credibility. While scandals, economic shocks, or unified PPP campaigning could theoretically shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party of Korea commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.3% to win the most upper-level local government seats (governors and mayors) in the June 3 elections, fueled by incumbency advantage after the party's 2025 snap presidential victory and sustained polling leads. A Gallup survey from April 14-16 showed 45% of respondents expecting a DP majority versus 28% for the opposition People Power Party, with the gap widening amid PPP infighting. An April 29 appeals court sentencing ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol to seven years for his 2024 martial law bid further erodes PPP credibility. While scandals, economic shocks, or unified PPP campaigning could theoretically shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 27 2026
Democratic Party announces strategic nominations of key candidates including former Gangwon Governor Lee Kwang-jae and former lawmakers Kim Yong-nam and Kim Nam-kuk for
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%1%
Democratic Party announces strategic nominations of key candidates including former Gangwon Governor Lee Kwang-jae and former lawmakers Kim Yong-nam and Kim Nam-kuk for by-elections held alongside local elections, consolidating party strength
Apr 24 2026
President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating remains robust at around 67%, boosting the ruling Democratic Party’s prospects ahead of June local elections according to multiple polls
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%2%
President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating remains robust at around 67%, boosting the ruling Democratic Party’s prospects ahead of June local elections according to multiple polls
Apr 23 2026
PPP approval drops to 15%, lowest since founding, as Democratic Party leads by a wide margin in all regions and age groups
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 1%2%
This historic low in approval ratings just weeks before the local elections cemented market expectations of a PPP defeat in the 2026 local elections.
Apr 4 2026
Gallup Korea poll records PPP support at a historic low of 18%, with severe criticism from conservative media over candidate recruitment failures
The party's inability to recruit strong candidates, especially in Seoul, and public disapproval of its leadership contributed to sustained low market confidence.
Mar 28 2026
Democratic Party candidate Kang Sung-hwi leads Mokpo mayoral poll outside margin of error, signaling strong local support in South Jeolla Province
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
Democratic Party candidate Kang Sung-hwi leads Mokpo mayoral poll outside margin of error, signaling strong local support in South Jeolla Province
Mar 12 2026
PPP approval rating remains at a dismal 17%, with key figures like Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon refusing to register for PPP candidacy
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
Persistent low approval and defections of prominent candidates underscored the party's ongoing crisis and poor electoral prospects.
Feb 19 2026
PPP expels party chief Han Dong-hoon amid internal conflicts and factionalism
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 4%4%
The expulsion highlighted deep divisions within the party and weakened its organizational stability, further eroding voter confidence.
Jan 2 2026
New Year opinion poll shows PPP losing momentum in key local races, with Democratic Party candidates leading in major cities and provinces
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 8%1%
Polls indicated the PPP trailing in battleground areas, reflecting growing voter dissatisfaction and signaling challenges for the party in the upcoming local elections.
Jan 1 2026
New Year opinion polls show Democratic Party losing some momentum but still competitive in key battlegrounds like Seoul, reflecting mixed but generally positive outlook for DP
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 90%1%
New Year opinion polls show Democratic Party losing some momentum but still competitive in key battlegrounds like Seoul, reflecting mixed but generally positive outlook for DP
Dec 18 2025
Infighting intensifies in the Democratic Party ahead of Supreme Council by-election, highlighting internal party dynamics as candidates vie for key positions ahead of local
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 89%9%
Infighting intensifies in the Democratic Party ahead of Supreme Council by-election, highlighting internal party dynamics as candidates vie for key positions ahead of local elections
Dec 3 2025
Former President Yoon Suk Yeol impeached following his illegal martial law declaration in December 2024
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
Yoon's impeachment by the Constitutional Court marked a critical blow to the PPP, as the party was closely associated with his administration and controversial martial law move, triggering a collapse in public support.
Dec 2 2025
Cho Kuk re-elected as leader of the Rebuilding Korea Party after a special pardon, but the party remains minor and overshadowed by larger parties amid ongoing political
Cho Kuk re-elected as leader of the Rebuilding Korea Party after a special pardon, but the party remains minor and overshadowed by larger parties amid ongoing political challenges, maintaining its negligible market position
Apr 27 2025
Rebuilding Korea Party officially endorses Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae Myung for the 2025 presidential election, signaling a strategic alliance rather than independent
Rebuilding Korea Party officially endorses Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae Myung for the 2025 presidential election, signaling a strategic alliance rather than independent strength, which further reduced market expectations for RKP's electoral success
Apr 10 2025
Opposition bloc, including the Democratic Party and RKP, wins a landslide victory in the National Assembly elections, but RKP remains a minor player compared to the dominant
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 0%1%
Opposition bloc, including the Democratic Party and RKP, wins a landslide victory in the National Assembly elections, but RKP remains a minor player compared to the dominant Democratic Party. This outcome confirmed RKP's limited influence, keeping its market
Dec 14 2024
Supreme Court upholds two-year prison sentence for Cho Kuk, founder of Rebuilding Korea Party, leading to his resignation as party leader and barring him from running for office
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) plunges to 4%46%
Supreme Court upholds two-year prison sentence for Cho Kuk, founder of Rebuilding Korea Party, leading to his resignation as party leader and barring him from running for office until 2031. This severely weakened RKP's leadership and electoral prospects
Dec 3 2024
Former President Yoon Suk Yeol declares martial law in a failed attempt to suppress opposition, triggering a political crisis and his eventual impeachment.
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 3%1%
The ensuing instability undermined confidence in ruling parties and shifted political dynamics, indirectly affecting RKP's market position
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party of Korea commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.3% to win the most upper-level local government seats (governors and mayors) in the June 3 elections, fueled by incumbency advantage after the party's 2025 snap presidential victory and sustained polling leads. A Gallup survey from April 14-16 showed 45% of respondents expecting a DP majority versus 28% for the opposition People Power Party, with the gap widening amid PPP infighting. An April 29 appeals court sentencing ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol to seven years for his 2024 martial law bid further erodes PPP credibility. While scandals, economic shocks, or unified PPP campaigning could theoretically shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party of Korea commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.3% to win the most upper-level local government seats (governors and mayors) in the June 3 elections, fueled by incumbency advantage after the party's 2025 snap presidential victory and sustained polling leads. A Gallup survey from April 14-16 showed 45% of respondents expecting a DP majority versus 28% for the opposition People Power Party, with the gap widening amid PPP infighting. An April 29 appeals court sentencing ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol to seven years for his 2024 martial law bid further erodes PPP credibility. While scandals, economic shocks, or unified PPP campaigning could theoretically shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 27 2026
Democratic Party announces strategic nominations of key candidates including former Gangwon Governor Lee Kwang-jae and former lawmakers Kim Yong-nam and Kim Nam-kuk for
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%1%
Democratic Party announces strategic nominations of key candidates including former Gangwon Governor Lee Kwang-jae and former lawmakers Kim Yong-nam and Kim Nam-kuk for by-elections held alongside local elections, consolidating party strength
Apr 24 2026
President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating remains robust at around 67%, boosting the ruling Democratic Party’s prospects ahead of June local elections according to multiple polls
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%2%
President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating remains robust at around 67%, boosting the ruling Democratic Party’s prospects ahead of June local elections according to multiple polls
Apr 23 2026
PPP approval drops to 15%, lowest since founding, as Democratic Party leads by a wide margin in all regions and age groups
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 1%2%
This historic low in approval ratings just weeks before the local elections cemented market expectations of a PPP defeat in the 2026 local elections.
Apr 4 2026
Gallup Korea poll records PPP support at a historic low of 18%, with severe criticism from conservative media over candidate recruitment failures
The party's inability to recruit strong candidates, especially in Seoul, and public disapproval of its leadership contributed to sustained low market confidence.
Mar 28 2026
Democratic Party candidate Kang Sung-hwi leads Mokpo mayoral poll outside margin of error, signaling strong local support in South Jeolla Province
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
Democratic Party candidate Kang Sung-hwi leads Mokpo mayoral poll outside margin of error, signaling strong local support in South Jeolla Province
Mar 12 2026
PPP approval rating remains at a dismal 17%, with key figures like Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon refusing to register for PPP candidacy
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
Persistent low approval and defections of prominent candidates underscored the party's ongoing crisis and poor electoral prospects.
Feb 19 2026
PPP expels party chief Han Dong-hoon amid internal conflicts and factionalism
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 4%4%
The expulsion highlighted deep divisions within the party and weakened its organizational stability, further eroding voter confidence.
Jan 2 2026
New Year opinion poll shows PPP losing momentum in key local races, with Democratic Party candidates leading in major cities and provinces
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 8%1%
Polls indicated the PPP trailing in battleground areas, reflecting growing voter dissatisfaction and signaling challenges for the party in the upcoming local elections.
Jan 1 2026
New Year opinion polls show Democratic Party losing some momentum but still competitive in key battlegrounds like Seoul, reflecting mixed but generally positive outlook for DP
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 90%1%
New Year opinion polls show Democratic Party losing some momentum but still competitive in key battlegrounds like Seoul, reflecting mixed but generally positive outlook for DP
Dec 18 2025
Infighting intensifies in the Democratic Party ahead of Supreme Council by-election, highlighting internal party dynamics as candidates vie for key positions ahead of local
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 89%9%
Infighting intensifies in the Democratic Party ahead of Supreme Council by-election, highlighting internal party dynamics as candidates vie for key positions ahead of local elections
Dec 3 2025
Former President Yoon Suk Yeol impeached following his illegal martial law declaration in December 2024
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
Yoon's impeachment by the Constitutional Court marked a critical blow to the PPP, as the party was closely associated with his administration and controversial martial law move, triggering a collapse in public support.
Dec 2 2025
Cho Kuk re-elected as leader of the Rebuilding Korea Party after a special pardon, but the party remains minor and overshadowed by larger parties amid ongoing political
Cho Kuk re-elected as leader of the Rebuilding Korea Party after a special pardon, but the party remains minor and overshadowed by larger parties amid ongoing political challenges, maintaining its negligible market position
Apr 27 2025
Rebuilding Korea Party officially endorses Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae Myung for the 2025 presidential election, signaling a strategic alliance rather than independent
Rebuilding Korea Party officially endorses Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae Myung for the 2025 presidential election, signaling a strategic alliance rather than independent strength, which further reduced market expectations for RKP's electoral success
Apr 10 2025
Opposition bloc, including the Democratic Party and RKP, wins a landslide victory in the National Assembly elections, but RKP remains a minor player compared to the dominant
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 0%1%
Opposition bloc, including the Democratic Party and RKP, wins a landslide victory in the National Assembly elections, but RKP remains a minor player compared to the dominant Democratic Party. This outcome confirmed RKP's limited influence, keeping its market
Dec 14 2024
Supreme Court upholds two-year prison sentence for Cho Kuk, founder of Rebuilding Korea Party, leading to his resignation as party leader and barring him from running for office
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) plunges to 4%46%
Supreme Court upholds two-year prison sentence for Cho Kuk, founder of Rebuilding Korea Party, leading to his resignation as party leader and barring him from running for office until 2031. This severely weakened RKP's leadership and electoral prospects
Dec 3 2024
Former President Yoon Suk Yeol declares martial law in a failed attempt to suppress opposition, triggering a political crisis and his eventual impeachment.
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 3%1%
The ensuing instability undermined confidence in ruling parties and shifted political dynamics, indirectly affecting RKP's market position
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)" con 98%, seguido de "Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" ha generado $2.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" es "Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $2.3 million operados en “Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 98¢ para "Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)" en el mercado "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 98% de que "Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 98¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 2¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Jun 3, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido" tiene una discusión creciente de 2 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Elecciones locales de Corea del Sur de 2026: Ganador del partido". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes