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Military predictions & odds

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Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

<1%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

132

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

<1%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

299

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

27%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

164

Ends in about 2 months

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

<1%

April 30

$77.3K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$604K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

54%

June 30

$42M Vol.

$2M today

$285K Liq.

864

Ends in 2 months

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

4%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$68.7K today

$190K Liq.

1

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

23%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$50.1K today

$84.1K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

15%

$659K Vol.

$93.3K Liq.

32

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$646K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

9%

$2M Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

8%

$229K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

1%

April 30

$64.9K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$235K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

15

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

15%

$281K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

1%

April 30

$66.4K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

6

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

14%

June 30

$182K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

32

Ends in about 2 months

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

16%

$534 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$89.8K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

44%

$95.2K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Military.

Polymarket currently hosts 276 active markets for Military that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Gulf State military action against Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Military predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.