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Deficit predictions & odds

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US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

28%

800–900B

$20.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

13%

$868 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?

Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?

4%

$2.9K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

76%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$66.9K today

$4.8K Liq.

120

Ends in 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$38.8K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

93%

↓ $4,700

$9.7K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

95%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

2%

↓ $4,500

$258K Vol.

$55.6K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

62%

↑ $3.00

$1.7K Vol.

$270 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$614 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

49%

May 31

$108K Vol.

$73.5K Liq.

10

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

65%

↓ $0.60

$1.4K Vol.

$382 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

47%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$7 Vol.

$49.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

100%

>$600M

$28M Vol.

$6M today

$690K Liq.

318

Ends in 2 months

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

95%

$40 trillion

$10.7K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

50%

↑ 700

$213K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$77 Vol.

$392 Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Deficit.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Deficit that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US Trade Deficit in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $33.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Deficit predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.