Recent inflation data staying above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, has shifted expectations toward holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% with neutral forward guidance at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. This backdrop, following the April meeting’s record 8-4 split—the highest dissent since 1992—appears to be encouraging greater internal alignment this cycle. Market-implied odds of 67.5% for zero dissents reflect trader views that the committee will prioritize consensus on a data-dependent pause rather than risk another fragmented vote. Key near-term catalysts include the release of fresh CPI and employment figures ahead of the meeting, which could either solidify the hold or reintroduce hawkish or dovish fractures depending on the trajectory of core price pressures and job gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 67%
1 19%
2 7%
3 3.8%
$33,429 Vol.
$33,429 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
0
67%
1
19%
2
7%
3
4%
4+
<1%
0 67%
1 19%
2 7%
3 3.8%
$33,429 Vol.
$33,429 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
0
$17,477 Vol.
67%
1
$1,374 Vol.
19%
2
$615 Vol.
7%
3
$2,202 Vol.
4%
4+
$11,763 Vol.
<1%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data staying above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, has shifted expectations toward holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% with neutral forward guidance at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. This backdrop, following the April meeting’s record 8-4 split—the highest dissent since 1992—appears to be encouraging greater internal alignment this cycle. Market-implied odds of 67.5% for zero dissents reflect trader views that the committee will prioritize consensus on a data-dependent pause rather than risk another fragmented vote. Key near-term catalysts include the release of fresh CPI and employment figures ahead of the meeting, which could either solidify the hold or reintroduce hawkish or dovish fractures depending on the trajectory of core price pressures and job gains.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volume
$33,429End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data staying above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, has shifted expectations toward holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% with neutral forward guidance at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. This backdrop, following the April meeting’s record 8-4 split—the highest dissent since 1992—appears to be encouraging greater internal alignment this cycle. Market-implied odds of 67.5% for zero dissents reflect trader views that the committee will prioritize consensus on a data-dependent pause rather than risk another fragmented vote. Key near-term catalysts include the release of fresh CPI and employment figures ahead of the meeting, which could either solidify the hold or reintroduce hawkish or dovish fractures depending on the trajectory of core price pressures and job gains.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$33,429End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data staying above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, has shifted expectations toward holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% with neutral forward guidance at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. This backdrop, following the April meeting’s record 8-4 split—the highest dissent since 1992—appears to be encouraging greater internal alignment this cycle. Market-implied odds of 67.5% for zero dissents reflect trader views that the committee will prioritize consensus on a data-dependent pause rather than risk another fragmented vote. Key near-term catalysts include the release of fresh CPI and employment figures ahead of the meeting, which could either solidify the hold or reintroduce hawkish or dovish fractures depending on the trajectory of core price pressures and job gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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