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Cartel predictions & odds

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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

74%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

12%

June 30

$4.3K Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

45%

$460 Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

14%

$105 Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

73%

June 30

$171K Vol.

$53.6K today

$41.4K Liq.

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

60%

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

$82.1K Vol.

$495 Liq.

2

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

13%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

162

Ends in 8 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$185K Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

8%

$105K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$190 Vol.

$175K Liq.

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$1.2K Vol.

$118 Liq.

Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

62%

Banger Gang

$195 Vol.

$29 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

100%

paiN Academy

$20.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

61%

ShindeN

$16 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Game Hunters

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

100%

Vasco Esports

$1.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Rebels Gaming

$18.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

50%

BOJONG

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

QUINTESSÊNCIA

$4.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cartel.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Cartel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cartel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.