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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Francesca Hong 48.0%

Mandela Barnes 47%

Sara Rodríguez 20%

David Crowley 1.7%

Polymarket

$81,666 Vol.

Francesca Hong 48.0%

Mandela Barnes 47%

Sara Rodríguez 20%

David Crowley 1.7%

Polymarket

$81,666 Vol.

Francesca Hong

$16,603 Vol.

48%

Mandela Barnes

$13,162 Vol.

41%

Sara Rodríguez

$13,171 Vol.

22%

David Crowley

$4,814 Vol.

2%

Missy Hughes

$2,804 Vol.

1%

Kelda Roys

$4,190 Vol.

1%

Brett Hulsey

$2,461 Vol.

1%

Zachary Roper

$2,677 Vol.

<1%

Joel Brennan

$3,593 Vol.

<1%

Chris Larson

$10,160 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$2,215 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$3,144 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$2,671 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The crowded August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor remains fluid, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner among a field that includes former lieutenant governor Mandela Barnes, state representative Francesca Hong, and current lieutenant governor Sara Rodriguez. A May poll showed Barnes at 26 percent, Hong at 22 percent, and Rodriguez at 15 percent, yet the market prices the top two candidates within a few points of each other amid high undecided shares in earlier surveys. Hong has gained ground through grassroots organizing and working-class messaging, while Barnes benefits from prior statewide name recognition and Rodriguez from her current office. A scheduled July 28 debate and any late-cycle polling or endorsements could shift support before early voting begins, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout among key Democratic constituencies.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$81,666
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The crowded August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor remains fluid, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner among a field that includes former lieutenant governor Mandela Barnes, state representative Francesca Hong, and current lieutenant governor Sara Rodriguez. A May poll showed Barnes at 26 percent, Hong at 22 percent, and Rodriguez at 15 percent, yet the market prices the top two candidates within a few points of each other amid high undecided shares in earlier surveys. Hong has gained ground through grassroots organizing and working-class messaging, while Barnes benefits from prior statewide name recognition and Rodriguez from her current office. A scheduled July 28 debate and any late-cycle polling or endorsements could shift support before early voting begins, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout among key Democratic constituencies.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$81,666
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Francesca Hong" con 48%, seguido de "Mandela Barnes" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $81.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "Francesca Hong" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mandela Barnes" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.