US rejection of any Iranian role in managing Strait of Hormuz traffic has kept bilateral talks with Oman from producing an agreement. In late May, Iranian state media circulated claims of a draft framework for joint oversight and restored shipping, but President Trump publicly dismissed the reports as fabrications and warned Oman against cooperation, including potential sanctions. Ongoing US naval presence, port restrictions on Iran, and recent strikes tied to Hormuz security have sustained the impasse, with both sides far apart on sanctions relief and control terms. No verifiable progress has emerged in the final days before the June 15 deadline, aligning with trader consensus that an Iran-Oman pact remains improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
$14,605 Vol.
$14,605 Vol.
15 jun 2026
$14,605 Vol.
$14,605 Vol.
15 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US rejection of any Iranian role in managing Strait of Hormuz traffic has kept bilateral talks with Oman from producing an agreement. In late May, Iranian state media circulated claims of a draft framework for joint oversight and restored shipping, but President Trump publicly dismissed the reports as fabrications and warned Oman against cooperation, including potential sanctions. Ongoing US naval presence, port restrictions on Iran, and recent strikes tied to Hormuz security have sustained the impasse, with both sides far apart on sanctions relief and control terms. No verifiable progress has emerged in the final days before the June 15 deadline, aligning with trader consensus that an Iran-Oman pact remains improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$14,605Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US rejection of any Iranian role in managing Strait of Hormuz traffic has kept bilateral talks with Oman from producing an agreement. In late May, Iranian state media circulated claims of a draft framework for joint oversight and restored shipping, but President Trump publicly dismissed the reports as fabrications and warned Oman against cooperation, including potential sanctions. Ongoing US naval presence, port restrictions on Iran, and recent strikes tied to Hormuz security have sustained the impasse, with both sides far apart on sanctions relief and control terms. No verifiable progress has emerged in the final days before the June 15 deadline, aligning with trader consensus that an Iran-Oman pact remains improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$14,605Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US rejection of any Iranian role in managing Strait of Hormuz traffic has kept bilateral talks with Oman from producing an agreement. In late May, Iranian state media circulated claims of a draft framework for joint oversight and restored shipping, but President Trump publicly dismissed the reports as fabrications and warned Oman against cooperation, including potential sanctions. Ongoing US naval presence, port restrictions on Iran, and recent strikes tied to Hormuz security have sustained the impasse, with both sides far apart on sanctions relief and control terms. No verifiable progress has emerged in the final days before the June 15 deadline, aligning with trader consensus that an Iran-Oman pact remains improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes