Recent diplomatic efforts have produced a cessation of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah that extends into June, alongside reduced strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, lowering immediate risks to U.S. diplomatic facilities. The embassy continues operating with core staff after an earlier ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid prior regional tensions. No new escalatory military or diplomatic developments have emerged in recent weeks to prompt a full evacuation announcement. Trader consensus reflects this stabilization trajectory, though a sudden breakdown in talks, renewed cross-border attacks, or major security incident before June 30 could still shift conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
$55,076 Vol.
$55,076 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$55,076 Vol.
$55,076 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent diplomatic efforts have produced a cessation of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah that extends into June, alongside reduced strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, lowering immediate risks to U.S. diplomatic facilities. The embassy continues operating with core staff after an earlier ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid prior regional tensions. No new escalatory military or diplomatic developments have emerged in recent weeks to prompt a full evacuation announcement. Trader consensus reflects this stabilization trajectory, though a sudden breakdown in talks, renewed cross-border attacks, or major security incident before June 30 could still shift conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volumen
$55,076Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent diplomatic efforts have produced a cessation of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah that extends into June, alongside reduced strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, lowering immediate risks to U.S. diplomatic facilities. The embassy continues operating with core staff after an earlier ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid prior regional tensions. No new escalatory military or diplomatic developments have emerged in recent weeks to prompt a full evacuation announcement. Trader consensus reflects this stabilization trajectory, though a sudden breakdown in talks, renewed cross-border attacks, or major security incident before June 30 could still shift conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$55,076Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts have produced a cessation of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah that extends into June, alongside reduced strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, lowering immediate risks to U.S. diplomatic facilities. The embassy continues operating with core staff after an earlier ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid prior regional tensions. No new escalatory military or diplomatic developments have emerged in recent weeks to prompt a full evacuation announcement. Trader consensus reflects this stabilization trajectory, though a sudden breakdown in talks, renewed cross-border attacks, or major security incident before June 30 could still shift conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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