Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Oman and other channels, remain stalled over core demands that Iran end or severely restrict uranium enrichment on its soil and dispose of its highly enriched stockpile. As of early June 2026, preliminary understandings have emerged on ceasefire extensions and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment for civilian purposes while rejecting verifiable, permanent limits sought by the Trump administration. Recent reports note Iranian offers limited to down-blending or deferred discussions, falling short of the binding commitments required for market resolution by July 31. These entrenched positions on nuclear capabilities, reinforced by prior strikes on facilities and IAEA compliance disputes, underpin the 75.5% trader consensus against an agreement by the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 jul 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Oman and other channels, remain stalled over core demands that Iran end or severely restrict uranium enrichment on its soil and dispose of its highly enriched stockpile. As of early June 2026, preliminary understandings have emerged on ceasefire extensions and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment for civilian purposes while rejecting verifiable, permanent limits sought by the Trump administration. Recent reports note Iranian offers limited to down-blending or deferred discussions, falling short of the binding commitments required for market resolution by July 31. These entrenched positions on nuclear capabilities, reinforced by prior strikes on facilities and IAEA compliance disputes, underpin the 75.5% trader consensus against an agreement by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$9,756Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Oman and other channels, remain stalled over core demands that Iran end or severely restrict uranium enrichment on its soil and dispose of its highly enriched stockpile. As of early June 2026, preliminary understandings have emerged on ceasefire extensions and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment for civilian purposes while rejecting verifiable, permanent limits sought by the Trump administration. Recent reports note Iranian offers limited to down-blending or deferred discussions, falling short of the binding commitments required for market resolution by July 31. These entrenched positions on nuclear capabilities, reinforced by prior strikes on facilities and IAEA compliance disputes, underpin the 75.5% trader consensus against an agreement by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,760Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Oman and other channels, remain stalled over core demands that Iran end or severely restrict uranium enrichment on its soil and dispose of its highly enriched stockpile. As of early June 2026, preliminary understandings have emerged on ceasefire extensions and Strait of Hormuz access, yet Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment for civilian purposes while rejecting verifiable, permanent limits sought by the Trump administration. Recent reports note Iranian offers limited to down-blending or deferred discussions, falling short of the binding commitments required for market resolution by July 31. These entrenched positions on nuclear capabilities, reinforced by prior strikes on facilities and IAEA compliance disputes, underpin the 75.5% trader consensus against an agreement by the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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