US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over the duration of any uranium enrichment suspension, with the US demanding a 20-year halt and Iran countering with five years, as highlighted in Iran's latest proposal reviewed by President Trump's team on April 28. Trump has claimed progress, including Iranian agreement to hand over enriched uranium stockpiles, but Tehran insists on its right to civilian enrichment and has denied access to IAEA inspectors at key facilities, per February reports. Recent diplomatic efforts via Pakistan mediators have narrowed gaps on issues like the Strait of Hormuz but deferred core nuclear concessions, fueling trader consensus at 59% "No" for an agreement by December 31 amid persistent sanctions and verification hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$121,711 Vol.
$121,711 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$121,711 Vol.
$121,711 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over the duration of any uranium enrichment suspension, with the US demanding a 20-year halt and Iran countering with five years, as highlighted in Iran's latest proposal reviewed by President Trump's team on April 28. Trump has claimed progress, including Iranian agreement to hand over enriched uranium stockpiles, but Tehran insists on its right to civilian enrichment and has denied access to IAEA inspectors at key facilities, per February reports. Recent diplomatic efforts via Pakistan mediators have narrowed gaps on issues like the Strait of Hormuz but deferred core nuclear concessions, fueling trader consensus at 59% "No" for an agreement by December 31 amid persistent sanctions and verification hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volumen
$121,711Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over the duration of any uranium enrichment suspension, with the US demanding a 20-year halt and Iran countering with five years, as highlighted in Iran's latest proposal reviewed by President Trump's team on April 28. Trump has claimed progress, including Iranian agreement to hand over enriched uranium stockpiles, but Tehran insists on its right to civilian enrichment and has denied access to IAEA inspectors at key facilities, per February reports. Recent diplomatic efforts via Pakistan mediators have narrowed gaps on issues like the Strait of Hormuz but deferred core nuclear concessions, fueling trader consensus at 59% "No" for an agreement by December 31 amid persistent sanctions and verification hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$121,711Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over the duration of any uranium enrichment suspension, with the US demanding a 20-year halt and Iran countering with five years, as highlighted in Iran's latest proposal reviewed by President Trump's team on April 28. Trump has claimed progress, including Iranian agreement to hand over enriched uranium stockpiles, but Tehran insists on its right to civilian enrichment and has denied access to IAEA inspectors at key facilities, per February reports. Recent diplomatic efforts via Pakistan mediators have narrowed gaps on issues like the Strait of Hormuz but deferred core nuclear concessions, fueling trader consensus at 59% "No" for an agreement by December 31 amid persistent sanctions and verification hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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