Yemen's Houthis resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israeli military sites and airports starting March 28, 2026—their first in the current Iran-aligned regional conflict—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah and vowing gradual escalation, though Israel has intercepted all launches to date. No verified Israeli airstrikes, ground operations, or other military actions against Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory have occurred in the past 30 days, amid Israel's focus on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Gaza operations, and direct Iran tensions. Trader consensus prices reflect restraint, with low implied probabilities for imminent retaliation due to multi-front pressures and U.S. naval presence in the Red Sea, but odds rise for later dates amid persistent Houthi threats; watch for further barrages or diplomatic breakthroughs that could trigger targeted strikes on Houthi ports or leadership.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acción militar de Israel contra Yemen por...?
¿Acción militar de Israel contra Yemen por...?
$1,688,907 Vol.
30 abr 2026
30 de abril
<1%
31 de mayo
18%
30 de junio
26%
$1,688,907 Vol.
30 de abril
$248,848 Vol.
<1%
31 de mayo
$90,812 Vol.
18%
30 de junio
$447,748 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israeli military sites and airports starting March 28, 2026—their first in the current Iran-aligned regional conflict—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah and vowing gradual escalation, though Israel has intercepted all launches to date. No verified Israeli airstrikes, ground operations, or other military actions against Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory have occurred in the past 30 days, amid Israel's focus on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Gaza operations, and direct Iran tensions. Trader consensus prices reflect restraint, with low implied probabilities for imminent retaliation due to multi-front pressures and U.S. naval presence in the Red Sea, but odds rise for later dates amid persistent Houthi threats; watch for further barrages or diplomatic breakthroughs that could trigger targeted strikes on Houthi ports or leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volumen
$1,688,907Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israeli military sites and airports starting March 28, 2026—their first in the current Iran-aligned regional conflict—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah and vowing gradual escalation, though Israel has intercepted all launches to date. No verified Israeli airstrikes, ground operations, or other military actions against Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory have occurred in the past 30 days, amid Israel's focus on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Gaza operations, and direct Iran tensions. Trader consensus prices reflect restraint, with low implied probabilities for imminent retaliation due to multi-front pressures and U.S. naval presence in the Red Sea, but odds rise for later dates amid persistent Houthi threats; watch for further barrages or diplomatic breakthroughs that could trigger targeted strikes on Houthi ports or leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,688,907Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthis resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israeli military sites and airports starting March 28, 2026—their first in the current Iran-aligned regional conflict—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah and vowing gradual escalation, though Israel has intercepted all launches to date. No verified Israeli airstrikes, ground operations, or other military actions against Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory have occurred in the past 30 days, amid Israel's focus on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Gaza operations, and direct Iran tensions. Trader consensus prices reflect restraint, with low implied probabilities for imminent retaliation due to multi-front pressures and U.S. naval presence in the Red Sea, but odds rise for later dates amid persistent Houthi threats; watch for further barrages or diplomatic breakthroughs that could trigger targeted strikes on Houthi ports or leadership.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes