The Texas 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination and Kristin Hook advancing as the Democratic nominee for the November general election. The open seat—created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general race—has not altered the district’s underlying partisan composition, as evidenced by its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 60%+ margin there in 2024. Teixeira’s primary victory and name recognition from his MLB career, combined with endorsements from state and national Republican figures, have reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Hook’s nomination in a repeat bid faces structural headwinds in this exurban and Hill Country district stretching from northwest San Antonio through Hays and Comal counties. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries, leaving the strong Republican tilt intact ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21
$36,160 Vol.
$36,160 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$36,160 Vol.
$36,160 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$20,209 Vol.
81%
Partido Demócrata
$15,951 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination and Kristin Hook advancing as the Democratic nominee for the November general election. The open seat—created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general race—has not altered the district’s underlying partisan composition, as evidenced by its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 60%+ margin there in 2024. Teixeira’s primary victory and name recognition from his MLB career, combined with endorsements from state and national Republican figures, have reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Hook’s nomination in a repeat bid faces structural headwinds in this exurban and Hill Country district stretching from northwest San Antonio through Hays and Comal counties. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries, leaving the strong Republican tilt intact ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$36,160Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination and Kristin Hook advancing as the Democratic nominee for the November general election. The open seat—created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general race—has not altered the district’s underlying partisan composition, as evidenced by its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 60%+ margin there in 2024. Teixeira’s primary victory and name recognition from his MLB career, combined with endorsements from state and national Republican figures, have reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Hook’s nomination in a repeat bid faces structural headwinds in this exurban and Hill Country district stretching from northwest San Antonio through Hays and Comal counties. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries, leaving the strong Republican tilt intact ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,160Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination and Kristin Hook advancing as the Democratic nominee for the November general election. The open seat—created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to pursue the Texas attorney general race—has not altered the district’s underlying partisan composition, as evidenced by its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 60%+ margin there in 2024. Teixeira’s primary victory and name recognition from his MLB career, combined with endorsements from state and national Republican figures, have reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Hook’s nomination in a repeat bid faces structural headwinds in this exurban and Hill Country district stretching from northwest San Antonio through Hays and Comal counties. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries, leaving the strong Republican tilt intact ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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