Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after the March 10 filing deadline, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Tennessee's 8th District, a solidly Republican seat where he won 72% in the last general election. Weak Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins lack fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge, aligning with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No recent polling exists, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage drive the lopsided odds. Late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,615 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$837 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after the March 10 filing deadline, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Tennessee's 8th District, a solidly Republican seat where he won 72% in the last general election. Weak Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins lack fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge, aligning with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No recent polling exists, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage drive the lopsided odds. Late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$7,452End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after the March 10 filing deadline, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Tennessee's 8th District, a solidly Republican seat where he won 72% in the last general election. Weak Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins lack fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge, aligning with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No recent polling exists, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage drive the lopsided odds. Late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,452End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after the March 10 filing deadline, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Tennessee's 8th District, a solidly Republican seat where he won 72% in the last general election. Weak Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins lack fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge, aligning with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No recent polling exists, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage drive the lopsided odds. Late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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