Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 congressional map redraw, which preserved a strong partisan tilt with the redrawn lines favoring the GOP by roughly 13 points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and showing a 27-point Trump margin. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but Republican primary contenders including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary benefit from the district's suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties. Multiple Democrats are competing in their August primary, yet the general election landscape and historical voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late developments such as a Republican primary upset producing a weaker nominee or significant national shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 contest represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,995 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$1,097 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 congressional map redraw, which preserved a strong partisan tilt with the redrawn lines favoring the GOP by roughly 13 points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and showing a 27-point Trump margin. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but Republican primary contenders including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary benefit from the district's suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties. Multiple Democrats are competing in their August primary, yet the general election landscape and historical voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late developments such as a Republican primary upset producing a weaker nominee or significant national shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 contest represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$6,092End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 congressional map redraw, which preserved a strong partisan tilt with the redrawn lines favoring the GOP by roughly 13 points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and showing a 27-point Trump margin. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but Republican primary contenders including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary benefit from the district's suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties. Multiple Democrats are competing in their August primary, yet the general election landscape and historical voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late developments such as a Republican primary upset producing a weaker nominee or significant national shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 contest represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,092End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 congressional map redraw, which preserved a strong partisan tilt with the redrawn lines favoring the GOP by roughly 13 points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and showing a 27-point Trump margin. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but Republican primary contenders including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary benefit from the district's suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties. Multiple Democrats are competing in their August primary, yet the general election landscape and historical voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late developments such as a Republican primary upset producing a weaker nominee or significant national shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 contest represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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