Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting at a steady 200-239 range (40% combined implied probability for top two outcomes), mirroring his recent weekly tallies like 180-199 for April 24-May 1 amid a slight slowdown to 34 posts April 30-May 2 (daily average ~17). This closely contested dynamic stems from his viral engagement on immigration policy, Neuralink advancements, Starlink expansions, and Grok benchmarks, fueling cultural debates without major spikes. Key differentiators include potential political flare-ups or company announcements boosting volume above 220, versus quieter focus on executive duties pulling toward 200; watch May 5-12 for real-time momentum shifts as X hits record usage highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated220-239 19%
200-219 19%
180-199 15%
240-259 14%
NEW
$16,268 Vol.
NEW
$16,268 Vol.
May 12, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
10%
120-139
6%
140-159
10%
160-179
14%
180-199
15%
200-219
19%
220-239
19%
240-259
14%
260-279
8%
280-299
12%
300-319
10%
320-339
10%
340-359
8%
360-379
4%
380-399
3%
400-419
3%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 19%
200-219 19%
180-199 15%
240-259 14%
NEW
$16,268 Vol.
NEW
$16,268 Vol.
May 12, 2026
<20
$15,192 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$192 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$7,192 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$3,032 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$2,430 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$10 Vol.
10%
120-139
$25 Vol.
6%
140-159
$75 Vol.
10%
160-179
$236 Vol.
14%
180-199
$370 Vol.
15%
200-219
$156 Vol.
19%
220-239
$35 Vol.
19%
240-259
$40 Vol.
14%
260-279
$45 Vol.
8%
280-299
$37 Vol.
12%
300-319
$10 Vol.
10%
320-339
$20 Vol.
10%
340-359
$10 Vol.
8%
360-379
$30 Vol.
4%
380-399
$165 Vol.
3%
400-419
$186 Vol.
3%
420-439
$186 Vol.
3%
440-459
$186 Vol.
2%
460-479
$208 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
500+
$216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting at a steady 200-239 range (40% combined implied probability for top two outcomes), mirroring his recent weekly tallies like 180-199 for April 24-May 1 amid a slight slowdown to 34 posts April 30-May 2 (daily average ~17). This closely contested dynamic stems from his viral engagement on immigration policy, Neuralink advancements, Starlink expansions, and Grok benchmarks, fueling cultural debates without major spikes. Key differentiators include potential political flare-ups or company announcements boosting volume above 220, versus quieter focus on executive duties pulling toward 200; watch May 5-12 for real-time momentum shifts as X hits record usage highs.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$16,268End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting at a steady 200-239 range (40% combined implied probability for top two outcomes), mirroring his recent weekly tallies like 180-199 for April 24-May 1 amid a slight slowdown to 34 posts April 30-May 2 (daily average ~17). This closely contested dynamic stems from his viral engagement on immigration policy, Neuralink advancements, Starlink expansions, and Grok benchmarks, fueling cultural debates without major spikes. Key differentiators include potential political flare-ups or company announcements boosting volume above 220, versus quieter focus on executive duties pulling toward 200; watch May 5-12 for real-time momentum shifts as X hits record usage highs.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,268End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting at a steady 200-239 range (40% combined implied probability for top two outcomes), mirroring his recent weekly tallies like 180-199 for April 24-May 1 amid a slight slowdown to 34 posts April 30-May 2 (daily average ~17). This closely contested dynamic stems from his viral engagement on immigration policy, Neuralink advancements, Starlink expansions, and Grok benchmarks, fueling cultural debates without major spikes. Key differentiators include potential political flare-ups or company announcements boosting volume above 220, versus quieter focus on executive duties pulling toward 200; watch May 5-12 for real-time momentum shifts as X hits record usage highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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