Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posting volume (@NYCMayor) remains unpredictable, fueling closely matched trader consensus across ranges like 80-99 and 120-139 at 26.5% each for the May 5-12 window, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of his variable daily output averaging 4-8 posts recently. Over the past week, activity spiked to eight posts on May Day amid union solidarity messages, religious observances for Vaisakhi and Vesak, responses to a child's tragic death, and a Gaza flotilla statement, contrasting quieter days. This event-driven pattern, rooted in Mamdani's campaign-honed social media strategy of viral videos and direct engagement, keeps probabilities tight absent locked-in catalysts. Major separation could arise from emergencies, City Council votes, policy announcements, or cultural events like the May 9 NYC Video Game Festival, amplifying or muting his communications cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNYC Mayor # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?
20-39 69%
40-59 26%
<20 24%
200+ 20%
NEW
NEW
May 12, 2026
<20
24%
20-39
78%
40-59
26%
60-79
2%
80-99
3%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
14%
160-179
19%
180-199
4%
200+
20%
20-39 69%
40-59 26%
<20 24%
200+ 20%
NEW
NEW
May 12, 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
24%
20-39
$16 Vol.
78%
40-59
$0 Vol.
26%
60-79
$25 Vol.
2%
80-99
$10 Vol.
3%
100-119
$285 Vol.
1%
120-139
$266 Vol.
3%
140-159
$269 Vol.
14%
160-179
$332 Vol.
19%
180-199
$283 Vol.
4%
200+
$87 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posting volume (@NYCMayor) remains unpredictable, fueling closely matched trader consensus across ranges like 80-99 and 120-139 at 26.5% each for the May 5-12 window, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of his variable daily output averaging 4-8 posts recently. Over the past week, activity spiked to eight posts on May Day amid union solidarity messages, religious observances for Vaisakhi and Vesak, responses to a child's tragic death, and a Gaza flotilla statement, contrasting quieter days. This event-driven pattern, rooted in Mamdani's campaign-honed social media strategy of viral videos and direct engagement, keeps probabilities tight absent locked-in catalysts. Major separation could arise from emergencies, City Council votes, policy announcements, or cultural events like the May 9 NYC Video Game Festival, amplifying or muting his communications cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,574End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posting volume (@NYCMayor) remains unpredictable, fueling closely matched trader consensus across ranges like 80-99 and 120-139 at 26.5% each for the May 5-12 window, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of his variable daily output averaging 4-8 posts recently. Over the past week, activity spiked to eight posts on May Day amid union solidarity messages, religious observances for Vaisakhi and Vesak, responses to a child's tragic death, and a Gaza flotilla statement, contrasting quieter days. This event-driven pattern, rooted in Mamdani's campaign-honed social media strategy of viral videos and direct engagement, keeps probabilities tight absent locked-in catalysts. Major separation could arise from emergencies, City Council votes, policy announcements, or cultural events like the May 9 NYC Video Game Festival, amplifying or muting his communications cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,574End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posting volume (@NYCMayor) remains unpredictable, fueling closely matched trader consensus across ranges like 80-99 and 120-139 at 26.5% each for the May 5-12 window, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of his variable daily output averaging 4-8 posts recently. Over the past week, activity spiked to eight posts on May Day amid union solidarity messages, religious observances for Vaisakhi and Vesak, responses to a child's tragic death, and a Gaza flotilla statement, contrasting quieter days. This event-driven pattern, rooted in Mamdani's campaign-honed social media strategy of viral videos and direct engagement, keeps probabilities tight absent locked-in catalysts. Major separation could arise from emergencies, City Council votes, policy announcements, or cultural events like the May 9 NYC Video Game Festival, amplifying or muting his communications cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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