QatarEnergy halted all LNG production at its Ras Laffan facilities in early March 2026 following Iranian missile strikes that damaged key trains, representing 17% of export capacity, prompting force majeure declarations extended into May. A mid-April ceasefire enabled mobilization of engineers for restart preparations, but industry assessments indicate initial flows at 10-25% capacity within weeks at best, with full scaling requiring 2-4 months or longer due to repair complexities, storage constraints, and gradual ramp-up to prevent equipment damage. Absent any official resumption announcement by April 30, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No," though a surprise partial output disclosure or accelerated repairs could theoretically shift odds in final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$118,161 Vol.
$118,161 Vol.
$118,161 Vol.
$118,161 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...QatarEnergy halted all LNG production at its Ras Laffan facilities in early March 2026 following Iranian missile strikes that damaged key trains, representing 17% of export capacity, prompting force majeure declarations extended into May. A mid-April ceasefire enabled mobilization of engineers for restart preparations, but industry assessments indicate initial flows at 10-25% capacity within weeks at best, with full scaling requiring 2-4 months or longer due to repair complexities, storage constraints, and gradual ramp-up to prevent equipment damage. Absent any official resumption announcement by April 30, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No," though a surprise partial output disclosure or accelerated repairs could theoretically shift odds in final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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