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icon for DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

icon for DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$565 Vol.

Polymarket

May 15

$480 Vol.

4%

June 30

$85 Vol.

9%

The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Jeanine Pirro stated on May 3 that the Department of Justice could reopen its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if the Fed Inspector General's review uncovers evidence of wrongdoing related to headquarters renovation cost overruns. The probe was closed on April 24 due to insufficient evidence, shifting oversight to the IG amid Senate pressure, including from Sen. Thom Tillis, to advance President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh for Fed chair as Powell's term expires May 15. Traders monitor the IG's expected report—potentially within 90 days—for catalysts on reopening, amid the Federal Reserve leadership transition and confirmation hearings.

The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$565
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Jeanine Pirro stated on May 3 that the Department of Justice could reopen its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if the Fed Inspector General's review uncovers evidence of wrongdoing related to headquarters renovation cost overruns. The probe was closed on April 24 due to insufficient evidence, shifting oversight to the IG amid Senate pressure, including from Sen. Thom Tillis, to advance President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh for Fed chair as Powell's term expires May 15. Traders monitor the IG's expected report—potentially within 90 days—for catalysts on reopening, amid the Federal Reserve leadership transition and confirmation hearings.

The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$565
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 9%, followed by "May 15" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?" is "June 30" at just 9%, with "May 15" close behind at 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.