Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's lowest temperature on May 1 at 11°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to partly cloudy in the afternoon, with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 44% implied probability on 10°C, 36% on 11°C, and 28.5% on 12°C. This tight clustering reflects a cooler air mass advecting southward amid recent light rain and below-average April 30 lows of 10°C, favoring radiational cooling overnight but tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit drops below 10°C or sustain warmth near 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minor spread around this range, consistent with early-May climatological norms of 10-13°C minima; hourly observations through early May 1 will sharpen resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on May 1?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 1?
11°C 33%
12°C 31%
10°C 13%
9°C 6.6%
NEW
NEW
May 1, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
30%
11°C
37%
12°C
31%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 33%
12°C 31%
10°C 13%
9°C 6.6%
NEW
NEW
May 1, 2026
7°C or below
$697 Vol.
1%
8°C
$465 Vol.
1%
9°C
$292 Vol.
7%
10°C
$174 Vol.
30%
11°C
$89 Vol.
37%
12°C
$100 Vol.
31%
13°C
$198 Vol.
2%
14°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's lowest temperature on May 1 at 11°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to partly cloudy in the afternoon, with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 44% implied probability on 10°C, 36% on 11°C, and 28.5% on 12°C. This tight clustering reflects a cooler air mass advecting southward amid recent light rain and below-average April 30 lows of 10°C, favoring radiational cooling overnight but tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit drops below 10°C or sustain warmth near 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minor spread around this range, consistent with early-May climatological norms of 10-13°C minima; hourly observations through early May 1 will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,187End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's lowest temperature on May 1 at 11°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to partly cloudy in the afternoon, with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 44% implied probability on 10°C, 36% on 11°C, and 28.5% on 12°C. This tight clustering reflects a cooler air mass advecting southward amid recent light rain and below-average April 30 lows of 10°C, favoring radiational cooling overnight but tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit drops below 10°C or sustain warmth near 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minor spread around this range, consistent with early-May climatological norms of 10-13°C minima; hourly observations through early May 1 will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,187End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's lowest temperature on May 1 at 11°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to partly cloudy in the afternoon, with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 44% implied probability on 10°C, 36% on 11°C, and 28.5% on 12°C. This tight clustering reflects a cooler air mass advecting southward amid recent light rain and below-average April 30 lows of 10°C, favoring radiational cooling overnight but tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit drops below 10°C or sustain warmth near 12°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show minor spread around this range, consistent with early-May climatological norms of 10-13°C minima; hourly observations through early May 1 will sharpen resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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