Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts project Tel Aviv's May 1 high at 20-22°C under northerly winds ushering cooler continental air after late April's warmer spell, with highs often exceeding 25°C as seen in recent daily records. Yet trader consensus prices 24°C highest at 51.5% implied probability, buoyed by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the low-mid 20s°C and early May climatological norms near 25°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the market's resolution station. This reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes and boundary layer variability, where 2-3°C spreads are common; overnight model updates and dawn observations could shift odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 1?
24°C 52%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
22°C 5%
NEW
$14,581 Vol.
NEW
$14,581 Vol.
May 1, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
52%
25°C
22%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
22°C 5%
NEW
$14,581 Vol.
NEW
$14,581 Vol.
May 1, 2026
18°C or below
$1,992 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,158 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,901 Vol.
5%
23°C
$795 Vol.
20%
24°C
$1,232 Vol.
52%
25°C
$1,328 Vol.
22%
26°C
$1,263 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,209 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts project Tel Aviv's May 1 high at 20-22°C under northerly winds ushering cooler continental air after late April's warmer spell, with highs often exceeding 25°C as seen in recent daily records. Yet trader consensus prices 24°C highest at 51.5% implied probability, buoyed by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the low-mid 20s°C and early May climatological norms near 25°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the market's resolution station. This reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes and boundary layer variability, where 2-3°C spreads are common; overnight model updates and dawn observations could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$14,581End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts project Tel Aviv's May 1 high at 20-22°C under northerly winds ushering cooler continental air after late April's warmer spell, with highs often exceeding 25°C as seen in recent daily records. Yet trader consensus prices 24°C highest at 51.5% implied probability, buoyed by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the low-mid 20s°C and early May climatological norms near 25°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the market's resolution station. This reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes and boundary layer variability, where 2-3°C spreads are common; overnight model updates and dawn observations could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,581End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts project Tel Aviv's May 1 high at 20-22°C under northerly winds ushering cooler continental air after late April's warmer spell, with highs often exceeding 25°C as seen in recent daily records. Yet trader consensus prices 24°C highest at 51.5% implied probability, buoyed by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the low-mid 20s°C and early May climatological norms near 25°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the market's resolution station. This reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes and boundary layer variability, where 2-3°C spreads are common; overnight model updates and dawn observations could shift odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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