The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Denver projects a daytime high near 45°F on April 30 under overcast skies with showers and possible thunderstorms after noon, driving the market's 82% implied probability for 44-45°F as trader consensus. This reflects strong model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, following a sharp cool-down from yesterday's ~58°F high amid a frontal passage and cool air advection from an upper-level disturbance. April normals hover around 65°F, but current conditions—overnight lows near 40°F and lingering moisture—favor sub-46°F outcomes. Key resolution hinges on observations at Denver International Airport; afternoon clearing could marginally boost 46-47°F odds (18%), though ensembles indicate low uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 30?
44-45°F 83%
46-47°F 16%
48-49°F 5%
52-53°F <1%
$119,707 Vol.
$119,707 Vol.
44-45°F
83%
46-47°F
16%
48-49°F
5%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
<1%
44-45°F 83%
46-47°F 16%
48-49°F 5%
52-53°F <1%
$119,707 Vol.
$119,707 Vol.
44-45°F
83%
46-47°F
16%
48-49°F
5%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Denver projects a daytime high near 45°F on April 30 under overcast skies with showers and possible thunderstorms after noon, driving the market's 82% implied probability for 44-45°F as trader consensus. This reflects strong model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, following a sharp cool-down from yesterday's ~58°F high amid a frontal passage and cool air advection from an upper-level disturbance. April normals hover around 65°F, but current conditions—overnight lows near 40°F and lingering moisture—favor sub-46°F outcomes. Key resolution hinges on observations at Denver International Airport; afternoon clearing could marginally boost 46-47°F odds (18%), though ensembles indicate low uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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