Official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport, the resolution source for Tel Aviv-area temperatures, recorded a peak of 25°C on April 30, 2026, during midday hours under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome as real capital aligns with verified measurements. This exceeds the Israel Meteorological Service's pre-dawn forecast high of 22°C, likely due to greater-than-expected solar insolation from reduced coastal haze and alignment with April climatological norms of 22-25°C daytime maxima amid Mediterranean spring warming patterns. While finalized data supports certainty, a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's hourly METAR archive—such as from equipment recalibration—could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such changes below 1°C and infrequent after 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 30?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,622 Vol.
$60,622 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,622 Vol.
$60,622 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport, the resolution source for Tel Aviv-area temperatures, recorded a peak of 25°C on April 30, 2026, during midday hours under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome as real capital aligns with verified measurements. This exceeds the Israel Meteorological Service's pre-dawn forecast high of 22°C, likely due to greater-than-expected solar insolation from reduced coastal haze and alignment with April climatological norms of 22-25°C daytime maxima amid Mediterranean spring warming patterns. While finalized data supports certainty, a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's hourly METAR archive—such as from equipment recalibration—could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such changes below 1°C and infrequent after 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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