Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by official forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) projecting a 30°C maximum under persistent high-pressure conditions and peak dry-season solar heating. Midday observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport have already exceeded 29°C, aligning with April climatology where highs average 32°C—rarely dipping below 29°C due to near-perpendicular solar incidence and minimal cloud cover, per ETESA historical records. Model consensus shows no cooling anomalies. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge in Atlantic moisture inducing heavy clouds and rapid diurnal cooling before the official daily maximum is recorded, a low-probability scenario given current stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 30?
$36,260 Vol.
$36,260 Vol.
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
100%
$36,260 Vol.
$36,260 Vol.
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by official forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) projecting a 30°C maximum under persistent high-pressure conditions and peak dry-season solar heating. Midday observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport have already exceeded 29°C, aligning with April climatology where highs average 32°C—rarely dipping below 29°C due to near-perpendicular solar incidence and minimal cloud cover, per ETESA historical records. Model consensus shows no cooling anomalies. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge in Atlantic moisture inducing heavy clouds and rapid diurnal cooling before the official daily maximum is recorded, a low-probability scenario given current stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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