Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 31–33°C at the resolving station, Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG). This aligns with the city's equatorial climate, where April averages exceed 32°C amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by morning METAR observations already in the upper 20s°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge of Pacific maritime air or heavy afternoon convection suppressing daytime heating—scenarios model ensembles deem improbable (<1% likelihood)—with final resolution based on official hourly reports through midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 30?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$26,083 Vol.
$26,083 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$26,083 Vol.
$26,083 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 31–33°C at the resolving station, Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG). This aligns with the city's equatorial climate, where April averages exceed 32°C amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by morning METAR observations already in the upper 20s°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge of Pacific maritime air or heavy afternoon convection suppressing daytime heating—scenarios model ensembles deem improbable (<1% likelihood)—with final resolution based on official hourly reports through midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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