Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
20°C 46%
21°C 30%
19°C 20%
18°C 5%
NEW
$35,692 Vol.
NEW
$35,692 Vol.
May 1, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
46%
21°C
30%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 46%
21°C 30%
19°C 20%
18°C 5%
NEW
$35,692 Vol.
NEW
$35,692 Vol.
May 1, 2026
13°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$675 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,276 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,351 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5,106 Vol.
5%
19°C
$3,486 Vol.
20%
20°C
$2,290 Vol.
46%
21°C
$2,324 Vol.
30%
22°C
$1,516 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$2,167 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$35,692End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,692End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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