Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models strongly converge on a late-afternoon high of 15°C at Munich Airport today, driving 98.8% trader consensus amid a chilly morning start at 3–5°C with easterly winds at 18 km/h advecting cooler continental air following warmer late-April peaks near 18°C. A high-pressure ridge over northern Europe has shifted steering patterns, capping boundary-layer heating despite low cloud cover and ample sunshine potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects model-implied probabilities grounded in current observations and historical April norms around 13–15°C highs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 16°C (1.5% odds) or unexpected clouds dropping to 14°C (0.1%); hourly station data through evening will resolve the peak whole-degree reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 30?
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$64,643 Vol.
$64,643 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$64,643 Vol.
$64,643 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
14°C
$11,506 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$7,472 Vol.
99%
16°C
$8,545 Vol.
1%
17°C
$7,935 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$7,403 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models strongly converge on a late-afternoon high of 15°C at Munich Airport today, driving 98.8% trader consensus amid a chilly morning start at 3–5°C with easterly winds at 18 km/h advecting cooler continental air following warmer late-April peaks near 18°C. A high-pressure ridge over northern Europe has shifted steering patterns, capping boundary-layer heating despite low cloud cover and ample sunshine potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects model-implied probabilities grounded in current observations and historical April norms around 13–15°C highs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 16°C (1.5% odds) or unexpected clouds dropping to 14°C (0.1%); hourly station data through evening will resolve the peak whole-degree reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$64,643End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models strongly converge on a late-afternoon high of 15°C at Munich Airport today, driving 98.8% trader consensus amid a chilly morning start at 3–5°C with easterly winds at 18 km/h advecting cooler continental air following warmer late-April peaks near 18°C. A high-pressure ridge over northern Europe has shifted steering patterns, capping boundary-layer heating despite low cloud cover and ample sunshine potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects model-implied probabilities grounded in current observations and historical April norms around 13–15°C highs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 16°C (1.5% odds) or unexpected clouds dropping to 14°C (0.1%); hourly station data through evening will resolve the peak whole-degree reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,643End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models strongly converge on a late-afternoon high of 15°C at Munich Airport today, driving 98.8% trader consensus amid a chilly morning start at 3–5°C with easterly winds at 18 km/h advecting cooler continental air following warmer late-April peaks near 18°C. A high-pressure ridge over northern Europe has shifted steering patterns, capping boundary-layer heating despite low cloud cover and ample sunshine potential. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects model-implied probabilities grounded in current observations and historical April norms around 13–15°C highs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 16°C (1.5% odds) or unexpected clouds dropping to 14°C (0.1%); hourly station data through evening will resolve the peak whole-degree reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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