Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a highest temperature on June 16 most likely between 17–20°C, driven by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show consensus around 19°C, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average June highs reach 20–22°C but recent Atlantic moisture influx and partial cloudiness cap extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 17–19°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing—observable in updated model runs over the next 24 hours—could easily differentiate the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting suppressed ridging and minimal solar insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 32%
19°C 29%
17°C 23%
20°C 11.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
23%
18°C
32%
19°C
29%
20°C
11%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 32%
19°C 29%
17°C 23%
20°C 11.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$98 Vol.
1%
15°C
$161 Vol.
2%
16°C
$69 Vol.
6%
17°C
$58 Vol.
23%
18°C
$32 Vol.
32%
19°C
$85 Vol.
29%
20°C
$52 Vol.
11%
21°C
$259 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$337 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a highest temperature on June 16 most likely between 17–20°C, driven by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show consensus around 19°C, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average June highs reach 20–22°C but recent Atlantic moisture influx and partial cloudiness cap extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 17–19°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing—observable in updated model runs over the next 24 hours—could easily differentiate the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting suppressed ridging and minimal solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,514End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a highest temperature on June 16 most likely between 17–20°C, driven by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show consensus around 19°C, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average June highs reach 20–22°C but recent Atlantic moisture influx and partial cloudiness cap extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 17–19°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing—observable in updated model runs over the next 24 hours—could easily differentiate the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting suppressed ridging and minimal solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,514End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a highest temperature on June 16 most likely between 17–20°C, driven by a moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show consensus around 19°C, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average June highs reach 20–22°C but recent Atlantic moisture influx and partial cloudiness cap extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 17–19°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing—observable in updated model runs over the next 24 hours—could easily differentiate the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with lower odds on 21°C+ reflecting suppressed ridging and minimal solar insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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