Recent forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show Moscow under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundery showers on June 15, keeping the daily maximum near 21–22°C. This aligns with mid-June climatology of 20–22°C highs and explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which reduces solar heating and caps peaks, versus clearer intervals that could allow brief warming to 23°C. Local urban heat island effects and wind patterns from southerly flows add minor variability, while model consensus remains high that temperatures will avoid extremes given the current synoptic setup. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will likely refine the final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 29%
22°C 25%
20°C 21%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,210 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,210 Vol.
15 jun 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 29%
22°C 25%
20°C 21%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,210 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,210 Vol.
15 jun 2026
16°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$941 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,304 Vol.
1%
19°C
$870 Vol.
8%
20°C
$539 Vol.
21%
21°C
$635 Vol.
29%
22°C
$558 Vol.
25%
23°C
$457 Vol.
13%
24°C
$782 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,227 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show Moscow under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundery showers on June 15, keeping the daily maximum near 21–22°C. This aligns with mid-June climatology of 20–22°C highs and explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which reduces solar heating and caps peaks, versus clearer intervals that could allow brief warming to 23°C. Local urban heat island effects and wind patterns from southerly flows add minor variability, while model consensus remains high that temperatures will avoid extremes given the current synoptic setup. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will likely refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$11,210Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show Moscow under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundery showers on June 15, keeping the daily maximum near 21–22°C. This aligns with mid-June climatology of 20–22°C highs and explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which reduces solar heating and caps peaks, versus clearer intervals that could allow brief warming to 23°C. Local urban heat island effects and wind patterns from southerly flows add minor variability, while model consensus remains high that temperatures will avoid extremes given the current synoptic setup. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will likely refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,210Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show Moscow under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundery showers on June 15, keeping the daily maximum near 21–22°C. This aligns with mid-June climatology of 20–22°C highs and explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which reduces solar heating and caps peaks, versus clearer intervals that could allow brief warming to 23°C. Local urban heat island effects and wind patterns from southerly flows add minor variability, while model consensus remains high that temperatures will avoid extremes given the current synoptic setup. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will likely refine the final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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