Latest forecasts from major meteorological models project a daily high of 31–32°C in Milan on June 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies maximizing solar heating, and light westerly winds limiting convective mixing in the Po Valley. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 30–31°C pricing, aligns with these runs while acknowledging minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or localized humidity that could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 27°C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth from this synoptic setup; resolution hinges on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 43%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C or below 5.8%
$17,373 Vol.
$17,373 Vol.
29°C or below
6%
30°C
34%
31°C
43%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C or below 5.8%
$17,373 Vol.
$17,373 Vol.
29°C or below
6%
30°C
34%
31°C
43%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from major meteorological models project a daily high of 31–32°C in Milan on June 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies maximizing solar heating, and light westerly winds limiting convective mixing in the Po Valley. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 30–31°C pricing, aligns with these runs while acknowledging minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or localized humidity that could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 27°C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth from this synoptic setup; resolution hinges on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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