Recent ensemble model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) positions Milan’s June 16 peak near 29–30°C, reflecting a moderate subtropical ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that limits further warming. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs of 25–28°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without the strong subsidence or southerly advection needed for 31°C-plus readings. Urban heat island effects around the city center add 1–2°C locally but remain capped by overnight radiative cooling under clear skies. Traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to 29°C (42.5%) and 30°C (32.5%) because the latest 12–24 hour model runs show tight clustering around these values, with only small spread that reduces the chance of an outlier outcome. Final official readings from the reference station will resolve the market once daytime maximum data are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 43%
30°C 31%
28°C 17%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
17%
29°C
43%
30°C
31%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
30°C 31%
28°C 17%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
27°C or below
$1,687 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,920 Vol.
17%
29°C
$696 Vol.
43%
30°C
$350 Vol.
31%
31°C
$847 Vol.
7%
32°C
$135 Vol.
3%
33°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) positions Milan’s June 16 peak near 29–30°C, reflecting a moderate subtropical ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that limits further warming. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs of 25–28°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without the strong subsidence or southerly advection needed for 31°C-plus readings. Urban heat island effects around the city center add 1–2°C locally but remain capped by overnight radiative cooling under clear skies. Traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to 29°C (42.5%) and 30°C (32.5%) because the latest 12–24 hour model runs show tight clustering around these values, with only small spread that reduces the chance of an outlier outcome. Final official readings from the reference station will resolve the market once daytime maximum data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$7,279Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) positions Milan’s June 16 peak near 29–30°C, reflecting a moderate subtropical ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that limits further warming. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs of 25–28°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without the strong subsidence or southerly advection needed for 31°C-plus readings. Urban heat island effects around the city center add 1–2°C locally but remain capped by overnight radiative cooling under clear skies. Traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to 29°C (42.5%) and 30°C (32.5%) because the latest 12–24 hour model runs show tight clustering around these values, with only small spread that reduces the chance of an outlier outcome. Final official readings from the reference station will resolve the market once daytime maximum data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,279Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) positions Milan’s June 16 peak near 29–30°C, reflecting a moderate subtropical ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover that limits further warming. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs of 25–28°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without the strong subsidence or southerly advection needed for 31°C-plus readings. Urban heat island effects around the city center add 1–2°C locally but remain capped by overnight radiative cooling under clear skies. Traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to 29°C (42.5%) and 30°C (32.5%) because the latest 12–24 hour model runs show tight clustering around these values, with only small spread that reduces the chance of an outlier outcome. Final official readings from the reference station will resolve the market once daytime maximum data are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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