Forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan’s June 15 peak hovering near the 30–31 °C threshold under a weak high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification within the city center, and afternoon wind speeds are the main variables separating the two leading outcomes. Official measurements at Milano Linate and Malpensa, taken at standard 2 m height, will determine resolution, with any late-day sea-breeze incursion or slight model cooling bias favoring 30 °C. Traders are weighting recent stable, mostly clear conditions against typical mid-June climatology of 26–28 °C highs while watching the next 12-hour model runs for final adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 42%
30°C 36%
32°C 19%
29°C or below 4.8%
NUEVO
$17,669 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,669 Vol.
15 jun 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
36%
31°C
42%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 36%
32°C 19%
29°C or below 4.8%
NUEVO
$17,669 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,669 Vol.
15 jun 2026
29°C or below
$4,337 Vol.
5%
30°C
$2,472 Vol.
36%
31°C
$1,934 Vol.
42%
32°C
$1,585 Vol.
19%
33°C
$1,752 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,147 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$835 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan’s June 15 peak hovering near the 30–31 °C threshold under a weak high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification within the city center, and afternoon wind speeds are the main variables separating the two leading outcomes. Official measurements at Milano Linate and Malpensa, taken at standard 2 m height, will determine resolution, with any late-day sea-breeze incursion or slight model cooling bias favoring 30 °C. Traders are weighting recent stable, mostly clear conditions against typical mid-June climatology of 26–28 °C highs while watching the next 12-hour model runs for final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$17,669Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan’s June 15 peak hovering near the 30–31 °C threshold under a weak high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification within the city center, and afternoon wind speeds are the main variables separating the two leading outcomes. Official measurements at Milano Linate and Malpensa, taken at standard 2 m height, will determine resolution, with any late-day sea-breeze incursion or slight model cooling bias favoring 30 °C. Traders are weighting recent stable, mostly clear conditions against typical mid-June climatology of 26–28 °C highs while watching the next 12-hour model runs for final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,669Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan’s June 15 peak hovering near the 30–31 °C threshold under a weak high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification within the city center, and afternoon wind speeds are the main variables separating the two leading outcomes. Official measurements at Milano Linate and Malpensa, taken at standard 2 m height, will determine resolution, with any late-day sea-breeze incursion or slight model cooling bias favoring 30 °C. Traders are weighting recent stable, mostly clear conditions against typical mid-June climatology of 26–28 °C highs while watching the next 12-hour model runs for final adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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