**Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models for Wellington on June 15, 2026, have converged on a daytime maximum near 16–17°C under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, anchoring the strong 88% market-implied probability for 17°C.** Northerly winds advect milder maritime air over the region during this Southern Hemisphere winter period, elevating temperatures above the June climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C. Earlier in the month, Wellington already recorded record June warmth exceeding 19°C, consistent with the current pattern of above-average conditions. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the central North Island through June, but short-range forecasts and model consensus for this specific day have driven the tight clustering around 17°C, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or higher. Real-time updates on wind shifts or frontal timing remain the key variables that could adjust final observed maxima before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 91%
18°C 10%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
NUEVO
$39,608 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,608 Vol.
15 jun 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
91%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 91%
18°C 10%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
NUEVO
$39,608 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,608 Vol.
15 jun 2026
11°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,425 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,793 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,336 Vol.
91%
18°C
$5,579 Vol.
10%
19°C
$3,867 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,051 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models for Wellington on June 15, 2026, have converged on a daytime maximum near 16–17°C under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, anchoring the strong 88% market-implied probability for 17°C.**
Northerly winds advect milder maritime air over the region during this Southern Hemisphere winter period, elevating temperatures above the June climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C. Earlier in the month, Wellington already recorded record June warmth exceeding 19°C, consistent with the current pattern of above-average conditions. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the central North Island through June, but short-range forecasts and model consensus for this specific day have driven the tight clustering around 17°C, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or higher. Real-time updates on wind shifts or frontal timing remain the key variables that could adjust final observed maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$39,608Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models for Wellington on June 15, 2026, have converged on a daytime maximum near 16–17°C under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, anchoring the strong 88% market-implied probability for 17°C.**
Northerly winds advect milder maritime air over the region during this Southern Hemisphere winter period, elevating temperatures above the June climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C. Earlier in the month, Wellington already recorded record June warmth exceeding 19°C, consistent with the current pattern of above-average conditions. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the central North Island through June, but short-range forecasts and model consensus for this specific day have driven the tight clustering around 17°C, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or higher. Real-time updates on wind shifts or frontal timing remain the key variables that could adjust final observed maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,608Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models for Wellington on June 15, 2026, have converged on a daytime maximum near 16–17°C under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, anchoring the strong 88% market-implied probability for 17°C.** Northerly winds advect milder maritime air over the region during this Southern Hemisphere winter period, elevating temperatures above the June climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C. Earlier in the month, Wellington already recorded record June warmth exceeding 19°C, consistent with the current pattern of above-average conditions. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the central North Island through June, but short-range forecasts and model consensus for this specific day have driven the tight clustering around 17°C, with only modest probability assigned to 18°C or higher. Real-time updates on wind shifts or frontal timing remain the key variables that could adjust final observed maxima before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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