Trader consensus favors 29°C or higher at 59.5% for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 2, driven by a persistent heat wave gripping central Mexico, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) reporting maxima of 31–33°C in the capital on April 30 amid a high-pressure ridge. This anomaly—4–5°C above the typical late-April to early-May average of 25–27°C—stems from dry-season conditions, urban heat island effects at 2,240 meters elevation, and minimal cloud cover, as observed in recent SMN advisories. Forecasts indicate continued warm advection into early May, though inherent model uncertainty could shift with new data; watch SMN updates and potential rainy season onset for resolution near the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 2?
29°C or higher 60%
28°C 34%
27°C 6%
26°C 1.5%
NEW
$24,752 Vol.
NEW
$24,752 Vol.
May 2, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
60%
29°C or higher 60%
28°C 34%
27°C 6%
26°C 1.5%
NEW
$24,752 Vol.
NEW
$24,752 Vol.
May 2, 2026
19°C or below
$2,106 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,622 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,455 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,096 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,245 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$618 Vol.
1%
26°C
$886 Vol.
2%
27°C
$611 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,050 Vol.
34%
29°C or higher
$874 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 29°C or higher at 59.5% for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 2, driven by a persistent heat wave gripping central Mexico, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) reporting maxima of 31–33°C in the capital on April 30 amid a high-pressure ridge. This anomaly—4–5°C above the typical late-April to early-May average of 25–27°C—stems from dry-season conditions, urban heat island effects at 2,240 meters elevation, and minimal cloud cover, as observed in recent SMN advisories. Forecasts indicate continued warm advection into early May, though inherent model uncertainty could shift with new data; watch SMN updates and potential rainy season onset for resolution near the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$24,752End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 29°C or higher at 59.5% for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 2, driven by a persistent heat wave gripping central Mexico, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) reporting maxima of 31–33°C in the capital on April 30 amid a high-pressure ridge. This anomaly—4–5°C above the typical late-April to early-May average of 25–27°C—stems from dry-season conditions, urban heat island effects at 2,240 meters elevation, and minimal cloud cover, as observed in recent SMN advisories. Forecasts indicate continued warm advection into early May, though inherent model uncertainty could shift with new data; watch SMN updates and potential rainy season onset for resolution near the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,752End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 29°C or higher at 59.5% for Mexico City's highest temperature on May 2, driven by a persistent heat wave gripping central Mexico, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) reporting maxima of 31–33°C in the capital on April 30 amid a high-pressure ridge. This anomaly—4–5°C above the typical late-April to early-May average of 25–27°C—stems from dry-season conditions, urban heat island effects at 2,240 meters elevation, and minimal cloud cover, as observed in recent SMN advisories. Forecasts indicate continued warm advection into early May, though inherent model uncertainty could shift with new data; watch SMN updates and potential rainy season onset for resolution near the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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