Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 35–37°C for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring uncertainty in GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and mostly clear skies. Early-May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, moderated by light northwesterly winds driving afternoon sea breezes from the Red Sea that temper inland heating through evaporative cooling. Late-April observations of hazy conditions and 33°C highs slightly cooled the trend, but dissipation of dust and seasonal warming have traders split: stronger sea-breeze penetration favors 35°C, while weaker onshore flow or enhanced solar insolation tips toward 37°C. Updated GAMEP bulletins and model runs through May 1 could refine guidance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 2?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 2?
36°C 32%
35°C 31%
37°C 30%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
31%
36°C
32%
37°C
30%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 32%
35°C 31%
37°C 30%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
31%
36°C
32%
37°C
30%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 35–37°C for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring uncertainty in GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and mostly clear skies. Early-May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, moderated by light northwesterly winds driving afternoon sea breezes from the Red Sea that temper inland heating through evaporative cooling. Late-April observations of hazy conditions and 33°C highs slightly cooled the trend, but dissipation of dust and seasonal warming have traders split: stronger sea-breeze penetration favors 35°C, while weaker onshore flow or enhanced solar insolation tips toward 37°C. Updated GAMEP bulletins and model runs through May 1 could refine guidance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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