**Trader consensus has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 30, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, including Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG), reporting a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, and scattered showers that capped solar heating.** China Meteorological Administration records align with international sources like Weather Underground, showing no readings exceeding this threshold as evening approaches, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting subdued warming under a weak high-pressure ridge. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on real-time measurements over prior expectations of 26-28°C averages for late April. Realistic challenges include late-reported data from remote stations revealing a higher outlier or post-day quality control revisions by the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts are rare once daily maxima stabilize. Final resolution awaits the official daily summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 30?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$58,812 Vol.
$58,812 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$58,812 Vol.
$58,812 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
25°C
$11,535 Vol.
100%
26°C
$9,148 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,453 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,681 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$7,311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 30, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, including Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG), reporting a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, and scattered showers that capped solar heating.** China Meteorological Administration records align with international sources like Weather Underground, showing no readings exceeding this threshold as evening approaches, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting subdued warming under a weak high-pressure ridge. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on real-time measurements over prior expectations of 26-28°C averages for late April. Realistic challenges include late-reported data from remote stations revealing a higher outlier or post-day quality control revisions by the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts are rare once daily maxima stabilize. Final resolution awaits the official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Volume
$58,812End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 30, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, including Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG), reporting a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, and scattered showers that capped solar heating.** China Meteorological Administration records align with international sources like Weather Underground, showing no readings exceeding this threshold as evening approaches, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting subdued warming under a weak high-pressure ridge. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on real-time measurements over prior expectations of 26-28°C averages for late April. Realistic challenges include late-reported data from remote stations revealing a higher outlier or post-day quality control revisions by the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts are rare once daily maxima stabilize. Final resolution awaits the official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,812End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 30, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations, including Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG), reporting a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, and scattered showers that capped solar heating.** China Meteorological Administration records align with international sources like Weather Underground, showing no readings exceeding this threshold as evening approaches, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting subdued warming under a weak high-pressure ridge. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on real-time measurements over prior expectations of 26-28°C averages for late April. Realistic challenges include late-reported data from remote stations revealing a higher outlier or post-day quality control revisions by the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts are rare once daily maxima stabilize. Final resolution awaits the official daily summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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